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Opponent - WAS
Proj Pts FD - 47.95 DK - 51.57
The Nets are back on the road tonight and that means Irving will be back on the court and this time without the services of both James Harden or Kevin Durant. Irving has seen his usage really jump up recently as he has taken 20 or more shots in eight of his last nine games while playing 35 or more minutes in all but one of those games. The price has gone up and appears it will remain here and that is fine considering the huge opportunity with Harden/KD out and the fact he faces a Wizards team that ranks 23rd in defensive efficiency. All things considered, Irving is my top payup at the guard position tonight.
Opponent - TOR
Proj Pts FD - 29.09 DK - 33.07
This is a game that is high on my target list tonight but for it to work out for us, we are going to need the Rockets to keep it relatively close. Kevin Porter stands out a little more on DraftKings but is in play on both sites with his consistent play as of late. Take out the game against the Spurs where he left early and he has averaged 32.9 FD/35.4 DK points per game. In that time, he has tallied double-digit shot attempts in each and has seen an even bigger spike from behind the arc going 9 for 20 over the last two games. I don't think we need to force him on FanDuel tonight but I will have a ton of exposure on DraftKings in all formats.
Opponent - MIL
Proj Pts FD - 42.56 DK - 46.08
The game of the night brings us a matchup between the #2 team in the East and the #1 team in the West. While both teams are ranked Top 10 in defensive efficiency, they both run a Top 10 pace which is the reason for the slate-leading Vegas total(232.5) and close spread(PHO -4). My favorite play in this game is Devin Booker whose price has trended down into the sub $9K range on both sites despite some very consistent fantasy returns. He comes in averaging 31.1 points, 5.1 rebounds, 4.1 assists, and 1.5 blocks/steals per game over his last 14 which works out to 47.0 DK/45.7 FD points per game. Not only has the floor been high in that time but he has also eclipsed 50 DK points five times during that stretch. He is a core play for me in all formats.
Opponent - GS
Proj Pts FD - 27.12 DK - 30.13
The Knicks draw a very tough matchup against the Warriors tonight but will likely be without RJ Barrett which should give Fournier some added time on the floor and he has already been providing a solid minutes floor. He can be very shooting dependent but has enjoyed a boost in usage lately averaging 15 shots and 20.8 points over his last six games while tallying at least 25 DK points in each of those. While the upside is likely limited here, the floor feels very safe so I will consider Fournier a cash-only play for me tonight.
Opponent - HOU
Proj Pts FD - 36.55 DK - 38.03
I mentioned wanting lots of exposure to this game earlier in the article and somehow made it this far without mentioning my favorite side of said game. The Raptors get a golden matchup on Thursday facing a Rockets team that ranks dead last in defense and runs a league-high pace. There have been times in which getting OG right was nearly impossible but the good news is that he has been much more consistent in the short term tallying 33 or more DK points in 10 of his last 12 games. The shot volume always seems to be there but what has helped a lot lately is the rebounds as he has seven or more in eight of those games. The price is a little attractive on DraftKings but OG is in play for me in all formats on both sites.
Opponent - LAC
Proj Pts FD - 22.31 DK - 24.99
The price is starting to get out of touch slightly but the opportunity cannot be ignored as Bullock has gotten some extra run recently with both Tim Hardway and Kristaps Porzingis out of the lineup. Over the last six games without both, Bullock has averaged 32.6 minutes, 12.3 shots, and 31.7 DK/30.2 FD points per game. With the matchup on the tougher side(LAC 5th in def eff) and this game having the lowest total, my guess is that the ownership will be lower but I do like Bullock a little more for cash games as the upside is limited on a team with Doncic and Brunson taking so many shots.
Opponent - HOU
Proj Pts FD - 47.03 DK - 49.39
The Raptors have the best matchup on the board Thursday and no Raptors players stand out more than Pascal Siakam. While his price has finally hit the $10K mark on FanDuel it is still suppressed on DraftKings which is mind-blowing considering he has tallied 50 or more DK points in four straight and is averaging just over 50 per game since late December, a 23 game sample size. He now gets a huge pace-up matchup against the league's worst defense. Lock and load in all formats.
Opponent - DET
Proj Pts FD - 37.85 DK - 38.04
Memphis has been blowing out teams like it's their job and have another great opportunity for it tonight as they open as 12-point favorites against the Pistons. Jackson was limited to 26 and 29 minutes in the two most recent blowouts but what I like to see is that he was still very productive with 33 and 47 DK points and has averaged 40.1 DK/41.9 FD points per game over his seven games. That means, even at these prices, he is providing a high floor for cash games and offers a huge amount of upside should the game stay close into the fourth quarter.
Opponent - MEM
Proj Pts FD - 26.14 DK - 26.47
On the other side of the ball, Stewart knows all about being blown out but it really hasn't affected his playing time, at least in the short term. He comes into tonight having played at least 29 minutes in six straight games while tallying 25 or more DK points in each of those. The usage is fairly solid for a big man but his biggest contribution comes on the boards where he has tallied double-digits in each of those games, as well, while averaging over 13 per game in that time. I like the floor he provides for cash games and if Detroit can keep it close there is opportunity for him to crush this rising price tag.
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