Indianapolis Colts running back Jonathan Taylor (28) plays against the New York Jets during an NFL football game in Indianapolis, Thursday, Nov. 4, 2021. The Colts defeated the Jets 45-30. (AP Photo/Michael Conroy)
Want access to the projections that power these picks? For a limited time, we're offering a free one-week trial to all the sports that we cover - that's optimal lineups for NFL and NBA - for the same low price. Get started now!
Opponent NYG
Proj Points FD - 22.32 DK - 23.04
There are some good quarterback options on this slate of games, but the way Hurts scores just makes him pretty safe on a week-in, week-out basis. His 114 rushing attempts are the most by any quarterback in the league with he and Lamar Jackson sitting in a league of their own in this stat. That ability to get out and scamper keeps the floor so high and the Eagles are completely committed to the run these days, keeping the ball on the ground for more than 50 attempts last week. Oh, and the Giants just happen to be terrible at stopping the run, ranking 30th in the league in defensive rushing DVOA. This is lining up to be a smash spot for Hurts.
Opponent MIA
Proj Points FD - 19.31 DK - 20.08
Did it all look great for Cam last week? No. But from a fantasy perspective, we got what we were asking for out of his performance. He went 21-27 through the air for 189 yards and two touchdowns. And then he got going in the ground game as well, running the ball 10 times for 46 yards and another touchdown. The trips to the end zone might have been a little lucky, but the fact that they are designing this many runs for him makes him a cash play on DraftKings where the price only corrected slightly. The FanDuel price came up too much so I think he is kind of out of the conversation there.
Opponent TB
Proj Points FD - 23.76 DK - 25.43
Look, the season he’s having is just utterly ridiculous at this point. His 286 DraftKings points are about 60 more than the next-closest running back (Ekeler) and he’s been on a near-historic pace over the last couple of weeks. Taylor has totaled 530 total yards in the last three weeks. That’s just unreal and he’s found the end zone six times in that stretch as well. The running back touches are now his alone, playing 83% of the snaps last week. The price is way up, and the TDs are probably an outlier, but it’s hard to compete with the sheer usage. Even though it’s a bad matchup against the Bucs, he’s also a very tough fade at this point.
Opponent NE
Proj Points FD - 12.52 DK - 14.58
The Titans cut bait with Adrian Peterson after three weeks in one of the least surprising moves so far. The veteran just wasn’t getting the job done as a suitable Derek Henry replacement. Though admittedly, few would. Hilliard was officially signed off the practice squad and came in to play 63% of the snaps for Tennessee in Week 11. He was first out of the gate with carries as well, and finished with seven rushing attempts and 10 targets in the passing game. That was good enough to total 85 yards. I think he sticks with first-team reps, likely working with D'Onta Foreman again. But if he’s now “the guy” for the Titans, Hilliard is an excellent value.
Consider Myles Gaskin against the Panthers.
Miles Sanders could be a great play against the Giants who are very poor against the run this season.
Opponent GB
Proj Points FD - 21.93 DK - 26.8
Coming off the bye week, Cooper Kupp is still the per-game target leader on the season. He is averaging 11.6 targets per game and his 27.66 DraftKings points per game lead the league. With Robert Woods out Kupp should remain a high-volume pass catcher in this offense and the addition of Odell Beckham Jr. doesn’t really cut into that at all. Kupp has such an outsized opportunity considering the way the Rams want to run their offense and though these prices are high, the floor on his production is as well.
Opponent DEN
Proj Points FD - 18.08 DK - 22.29
Allen has seen 11 or more targets in each of the last four weeks and now ranks third in looks per game behind only Kupp and Tyreek Hill. Where he really trails that group is in the touchdown department where he only has two on the season. But that sure looks like a lot of bad luck because while the trips to the end zone have been few and far between, he’s being targeted there at a pretty high rate. His 14 red zone targets ranks 7th overall in the league. There could be TD regression coming for Allen which would make these prices just flat out wrong heading into the week.
Opponent PHI
Proj Points FD - 12.33 DK - 15.36
The Giants fired Jason Garrett this week which has led some to believe that it could end up opening their offense a bit more going forward. The conservative play calling from Garrett was oft-criticized and there’s some chance the team gets more aggressive now. That could mean more opportunity for Toney who, at times, has looked amazing in the offense. Last week, he played 60% of the snaps and saw a team-high 12 targets from Daniel Jones. He wasn’t efficient, turning them into just seven catches for 40 yards. But Philly is a below-average pass defense and allows opposing quarterbacks to complete underneath routes at an above-average rate. Update: Toney missed practice on Friday. He might sit. If so, I think Kenny Golladay and Darius Slayton move up as values.
Opponent NYG
Proj Points FD - 11.73 DK - 14.43
Dallas Goedert has six or more targets in three of the last four games and owns a great target share in that time. Though the Eagles clearly want to run the ball as much as possible, when they do take to the air, Hurts is looking Goedert’s way more than anyone else. He’s seen 29% of the targets in that stretch. The volume isn’t higher only because Philly is wanting to stick to the ground game whenever possible. But even with that, I think Goedert is still a value here especially in a scenario where the Eagles might need to pass more.
Opponent IND
Proj Points FD - 11.55 DK - 13.99
Gronkowski returned for Monday night’s game against the Giants and was immediately back at the top of Tom Brady’s decision tree in the passing game. Gronk was second on the team with eight targets and finished with six catches for 71 yards. With Antonio Brown still sidelined due to injury, Gronkowski should remain one of the focal points in the passing attack for the Bucs. On DraftKings, he’s coming cheap enough to easily roster in cash games. .On FanDuel, I prefer Goedert coming a bit cheaper.
Opponent MIA
Proj Points FD - 7.76 DK - 7.76
The Panthers, as a defense, are in a good spot going into this Week 12 matchup against the Dolphins. On the season, Carolina has produced 30 sacks, which ranks third in the league behind only the Bears and Vikings. Plus, Miami has allowed 27 sacks on the season, tied for seventh in that stat. This game has a very low, 42 total coming in, and it’s hard to imagine, with the pace of both teams how much scoring goes up on the board. I like the Carolina price on both sites.
Opponent NYJ
Proj Points FD - 6.9 DK - 6.9
If you are looking for a cheap, DraftKings option on this slate then the Texans might just fit the bill. For as bad as the offense has been, Houston actually ranks 10th in defensive DVOA this season and have been very good against the pass especially. They haven’t generated a ton of sacks, but the Jets are the 24th-ranked offense in the league this season. This could be a great spot to roster a DST on the cheap facing a pretty anemic offense.
Week 12 DraftKings and FanDuel cash game NFL plays.
DraftKings and FanDuel Week 11 cash game NFL plays
Week 10 NFL cash game picks for DraftKings and FanDuel
Daily Fantasy DraftKings and FanDuel NBA Picks & Projections Playing NBA DFS Nightly? Join one…
Week 9 NFL DFS plays for DraftKings and FanDuel
Packed slate of NBA action on FanDuel and DraftKings
