The 2021 NFL season is now in full swing and the DFSR team has covered with content all week long. Earlier in the week, we covered our top cash game plays for DraftKings/FanDuel and now it's time to look at some of the top stacks.
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Opponent WAS
Proj Points FD - 18.02 DK - 18.93
Opponent WAS
Proj Points FD - 22.59 DK - 25.71
This week I will start with a stack we can use in all formats, at least on DraftKings where both Cam and CMC are underpriced. Newton was named the starter after taking first-team reps in practice this week and while he is priced among the Top 10 QB's on FanDuel, is near min price on DraftKings which opens up a ton of room for top running backs and pass-catchers this week. He scored in his first touch last week announcing to the world he was back and then threw for a touchdown later in the game. He is, in no way going to be 2015 Cam Newton so temper your expectations but at these prices I will take a 3x floor with 5x+ upside against a Washington defense that ranks dead last in total yards(314.4) and fantasy points to the quarterback position.
I will be pairing Cam with Christian McCaffrey in an attempt to capture all of the Panthers touchdowns. Newton back does hurt the implied touchdowns but in terms of total yardage, it think it really helps open up the defense as Cam is a real threat to run, as well. Newton's best passing season, in terms of accuracy(68%), also came in 2018 which was McCaffrey's second season and first with 100+ receptions. This is a buy-low for one of the best running backs in the league who was nearly $10K on DraftKings earlier in the season.
Opponent KC
Proj Points FD - 21.25 DK - 21.98
Opponent KC
Proj Points FD - 15.62 DK - 18.78
Opponent KC
Proj Points FD - 11.34 DK - 13.59
How can we not target the game of the week which has a total(55.5) that is nearly a full touchdown higher than any other game on this slate? This is one of those games where you are likely going to want a ton of exposure to if multi-entering but this is my favorite way to attack it for several reasons starting with the combined price which allows a lot more flexibility with the rest of your build(vs. Mahomes/Kelce/Hill).
Next up is the matchup comparison. I am not totally convinced Mahomes is back seeing as that explosive game last week came against a Raiders defense that is ranked 22nd in DVOA against the pass while struggling the three prior weeks against TEN(#9), GB(#8), and NYG(#11). He now faces a Cowboys defense that is #3 in DVOA against the pass. Ok, now that I have pissed off the Mahomes and Chiefs fans let's focus on the matchup at hand. The Cowboys pass game has a much better matchup against a Chiefs defense that ranks 27th in DVOA against the pass and have given up the second-most fantasy points to the quarterback position.
Dak bounced back in his second game back from a calf injury completing 77% of his passes and tallied multiple touchdown passes for the fifth straight game and sixth time in seven games this season. He will be without Amari Cooper this week but that bumps up the target share for CeeDee Lamb who has tallied 80+ receiving yards in six of nine games and has scored multiple touchdowns twice in the last four games. Michael Gallup might be my favorite PTS/$ value play this week as his price is suppressed as he is just two games removed from a two-month absence but played 54% of snaps last week and got five targets. I see him eclipsing the 80% snap count this week as the #2 wideout with five targets as a bottom floor. Lock and load!
Opponent MIN
Proj Points FD - 20.18 DK - 20.6
Opponent MIN
Proj Points FD - 21.13 DK - 25.39
The Packers will be without Aaron Jones this week and that has pushed A.J. Dillon to the top of my projected ownership list this week. I love the play and potential volume in this NFC North matchup but I also think there is some opportunity to make a pivot to an extremely high-upside stack at much lower ownership. I get why some will fade Rodgers as the Vikings defense is Top 10 against the pass but they were Top 15 last year and he threw for 655 yards and seven touchdowns in two games last year(it really hurt as a Vikings fan). Adams might not be as low owned but I feel he will fall outside the Top 5 at his position with some other excellent options who correlate with the projected high-owned QB's.
I like running this stack solo or running it back with either of the Vikings wideouts or Dalvin Cook in a game script where the Vikings get out early and lead (I might be dreaming) which could give him 20+ touch/100+ yard upside.
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