Los Angeles Clippers' Paul George (13) drives against Oklahoma City Thunder's Terrance Ferguson (23) during the second half of an NBA basketball game, Monday, Nov. 18, 2019, in Los Angeles. The Clippers won 90-88. (AP Photo/Ringo H.W. Chiu)
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Opponent - SA
Proj Pts FD - 31.88 DK - 33.9
Eric Bledsoe is finding new life here in Los Angeles with Ty Lue and the Clippers unlocking the oft-maligned guard in a way few others haven’t been able to in recent years. It’s a testament that working with talent in different terms can sometimes pay pretty big dividends. Over his last four games, Bledsoe is averaging 17 points, five rebounds, and five assists with the Clippers using him to get to the basket and act more like a big man on the court. It’s working. His price, especially on DraftKings is still much too low all things considered and the Clippers draw the best matchup of the slate against the Spurs.
Opponent - SA
Proj Pts FD - 31.26 DK - 35.12
I think we are going to be stacking three Clippers’ guards on this slate in the matchup against the Spurs. San Antonio has been solid defensively on the season, ranking as an above-average unit, but they are playing much faster, ranking as the 4th fastest pace team in the league. Jackson continues to be a volume shooter in this offense, putting up more than 17 shots per game so far. That’s led to 18 points a game even though the three-point shooting is under where he’s been over the last couple of seasons. I think there is room for growth on the scoring if this number rounds out some. He’s a bargain on both sites for the short slate.
Opponent - SA
Proj Pts FD - 52.62 DK - 57.24
Paul George isn’t right up there in the MVP discussion this season, but he probably should be at least a little bit. This seemingly undermanned Clippers’ team is 8-5 with the fourth-best point differential in the West thanks, in large part, to just how good Paul George has been this season. He’s averaging 26.5 points per game, the second-best of his career despite shooting under his career average from beyond the arc. The 8.2 rebounds would also represent a career-high as well, as would the 5.2 assists. It’s just been a great season and you have to love the matchup on a short slate.
Opponent - GS
Proj Pts FD - 20.94 DK - 23.85
Joe Harris has already been ruled out of this game with an ankle injury and that should lead to some increased playing time for Patty Mills. The latter started the second half of the last game after Harris left with the injury and there is some chance he could join the starting lineup in this one as well. Mills has been excellent this season, playing 25 minutes a game and shooting a crazy 48% from three on 5.5 attempts per game. He needs to score to hit fantasy value, but he isn’t all that expensive and should see at least a moderate minutes increase in this game. On a short slate, this is just the kind of value play you are looking for.
Opponent - UTA
Proj Pts FD - 42.05 DK - 45.91
This is a bad matchup against the Jazz, but Tobias Harris is just priced too low on FanDuel considering Joel Embiid is still out. Since coming back from the injury, Harris has taken 40 shots total in the last two games and last time around dropped a 32 point, 11 rebound line against the Pacers. He’ll have slightly tougher sledding here against Utah, but we will just have to deal with it considering the reduced player pool. Even with the bad matchup, he’s just coming too cheap at sub-$8K. The shot attempts should still be there in the offense and his floor is high enough assuming he plays minutes in the high-30s again.
Opponent - LAC
Proj Pts FD - 32.08 DK - 34.23
It can be like catching a falling knife figuring out when Keldon Johnson is going to play a lot of minutes in a game, but that is also something that is keeping his price in check. In his last four games, he’s played 38+ minutes in two of them, but that dipped to under 30 once as well. These days, that is akin to getting “Pop’d” and it is just something we need to roll the dice on. He’s 20+ points in three of his last five games and averaged more than eight rebounds in that time frame as well. Considering the Clippers trend smaller, I think Johnson can stay on the court longer here and is actually a good matchup for LA.
Opponent - BKN
Proj Pts FD - 37.22 DK - 38.7
We should see a lot of Draymond Green in this matchup with the Warriors and Nets likely both going with smaller lineups for a majority of this game. Draymond can contribute across the stat line which helps to keep his floor on the higher side. While he only puts up about eight points per game, he also averages eight rebounds and seven assists as well while putting in more than two defensive stats. I think the minutes will push towards the mid-30s in this matchup between the fourth and 11th-fastest teams in the league. At a thinner power forward spot, Draymond is a good cash game play because of how he accrues his fantasy points.
Opponent - LAC
Proj Pts FD - 28.54 DK - 29.79
Thaddeus Young is still coming off the bench for the Spurs, but with Jakob Poeltl out of the lineup because of Covid, Young has been seeing plenty of opportunity. Over his last six games, or since Poeltl went out, Young is averaging 25 minutes a game and putting up 12 points, five rebounds, four assists, and more than 3.5 defensive stats per game. It’s this across-the-board contribution that still makes him a viable cash game play even with the price steadily climbing. On a larger slate, I don’t think we’d be considering him for cash, but there are fewer option on Tuesday.
Opponent - PHI
Proj Pts FD - 41.62 DK - 43.21
The Sixers have been playing at a pretty slow pace all season, but without Embiid they have really struggled on defense. The team ranks 22nd in the league in defensive efficiency and that number drops even more with their star center out of the lineup. Gobert isn’t flashy, but he is ultra-consistent. The dude is a double-double machine basically for his career. This season is no different, and it’s actually gotten even better with Robert averaging a career-high 15+ rebounds a game. I think we can play him at center on this three-gamer.
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