(AP Photo/Rich Pedroncelli)
We have nearly a month of NBA basketball behind us, and it's been an incredible run to this point. Let's keep that momentum rolling here with this Sunday card!
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Opponent - IND
Proj Pts FD - 41.32 DK - 42.21
Fox has struggled by his standards this season, but this $7,500 price tag on FanDuel is silly. This dude has the ability to be a $10,000 player, and it's just a matter of time before this FanDuel price creeps up at least $1,000 more. We say that because he's still averaging over 35 fantasy points per game despite his busted shot. He's also got some positive regression headed his way in terms of steals and assists, making him a great candidate for some monster games in the near future. Indiana is far from a scary matchup, too, with the Pacers ranked 27th in points allowed and 23rd in field goal percentage defense. That's also clear when you see that they own a 21st OPRK against opposing PGs as well.
Opponent - CLE
Proj Pts FD - 28.76 DK - 29.73
Kemba has had mixed results in his first three weeks with the Knicks, but this price tag is a bit too low. Walker has regularly been a $7,000 player throughout his career, and he's shown flashes of that this season. That's evident when you see that Kemba has at least 26 DK points in four of his last six games, dropping at least 35 fantasy points in three of those. That would be a monster total from a guy barely cracking $5K, especially with Kemba seeing his minutes and usage rise in that stretch, too. The matchup is the icing on the cake, with the Cavaliers owning a 27th OPRK against opposing point guards this season.
If you have the salary, Stephen Curry should cook a terrible Rockets defense.
Opponent - MIL
Proj Pts FD - 47.06 DK - 47.98
I'm honestly shocked with how well the Wizards are playing this season. I bet their season win total under at the beginning of the season, and these guys are making that look like my worst preseason bet. Bradley Beal is a significant reason why, leading the team with 41 DraftKings points per game. That's actually a bit down from what he did last year, but it's lowered his price to this tasty number. What's equally as intriguing is his floor, scoring at least 39 fantasy points in all but one of those games. The matchup with Milwaukee looks tough on the surface, but Beal scored at least 51 DK points in each of his two meetings with the Bucks last year.
Opponent - SAC
Proj Pts FD - 39.18 DK - 40.13
It looks like Indiana will be without Malcolm Brogdon for this game, and that automatically boosts all of these Pacers' production. LeVert is one of the primary beneficiaries, playing a lot of point guard in his absence. He was actually slow to get started because of a minute restriction, but 34 minutes in the most recent outing tells us that he's ready for a full workload. This is a guy that averages over a fantasy-point-per-minute for his career, and he should easily do that in this expanded role. That's why our projections are at 40 fantasy points, making him an easy play around $7,000. The matchup with Sacramento is sensational, too, with the Kings ranked dead-last in total defense last season.
If some of the Utah players rest in a B2B, don't forget about Jordan Clarkson and Joe Ingles.
Opponent - LAC
Proj Pts FD - 34.51 DK - 35.49
The Hornets have hit a bit of a wall recently, but it's certainly no fault of Hayward's. This guy has quietly been one of the best small forwards in the NBA for a decade and is in the midst of another solid season. He's scored at least 32 DK points in four of his last six games, dropping 40-plus in three of those. Those are impressive numbers from a sub-$7K player, and it looks like he's going to do more with Terry Rozier struggling mightily. A matchup with Los Angeles is challenging, but it doesn't matter when we talk about this dirt-cheap price tag and the consistency of a stud like this.
Opponent - GS
Proj Pts FD - 34.63 DK - 36.36
Man, this guy is one of the worst shooters in the NBA, but he's just got too big of a role to avoid. KPJ is the starting point guard for the Rockets and has been carrying them since he was given that job last season. In fact, KPJ has had a 30 percent usage rate since joining this club last year, averaging nearly 30 DK points per game. His numbers have dipped this year, but the shots and usage are still there for him to be an $8K player. That makes it shocking that he's still sitting around $6,000, but we want to capitalize on this price drop. Golden State has been one of the best defenses in the NBA, but ranking fifth in pace makes them an enticing matchup for anyone.
Paul George has been one of the best players in the NBA and is an easy choice if you have the salary.
Opponent - WAS
Proj Pts FD - 54.61 DK - 56.63
Giannis could be in this article every day. This dude is arguably the best player in the world, providing a 40-point floor and a 55-point average. That's pretty much the guy we've seen for five years, with Giannis scoring fewer than 40 DK points a handful of times in that impressive stretch. That's why he's earned this ridiculous $11K price tag and why he's an easy choice on every slate. A matchup with Washington is even more attractive, with the Wizards ranked second in pace and 29th in total defense last year. They have been improved to start the season, but we love that he averaged 29 points, 11.7 rebounds, 9.7 assists, 1.3 steals, and 1.3 blocks in their three meetings last year. Just take the guaranteed 50 fantasy points and figure out the rest of your lineup from there.
Opponent - OKC
Proj Pts FD - 22.49 DK - 21.92
It's crazy that good old Thaddeus has found his way into this article again. I figured his career was over last year, but here he is! What's made him valuable recently is the absence of Jakob Poeltl. That has allowed Young to play a lot of center off the bench, seeing his minutes bump in three straight games. He's actually averaging 24 fantasy points per game in that span, too, dropping 27 DK points in three of his last four games. The best part of this play is the matchup, though, with Oklahoma City surrendering the most fantasy points to opposing PFs while ranked 23rd in defensive efficiency.
Daniel Theis just had a big game on Saturday and remains too cheap below $4,000.
Opponent - NY
Proj Pts FD - 37.92 DK - 38.22
The Cavaliers have made some bizarre roster moves with the million big men they've acquired, but Mobley looks like an absolute stud. He's actually scored at least 26 fantasy points in all but one game this season, en route to a 32-point average. That's scary from a guy that's only been in the league for two weeks, and we anticipate his role skyrocketing here. We say that because Kevin Love and Lauri Markkanen are both sidelined, leaving Evan with all the power forward minutes he can handle. He'll also play some center too, making him a good bet to reach 40 or more minutes. The Knicks are a good matchup as well, with New York ranked 22nd in defensive efficiency and 18th in points allowed. All of that makes this $6,000 price tag on FanDuel impossible to understand.
Opponent - OKC
Proj Pts FD - 25.6 DK - 24.65
We just mentioned how San Antonio would be without Ninja Poeltl, and it makes Eubanks one of the best value plays of the day. He's the direct beneficiary, entering the starting lineup in his absence. He's dropped at least 20 DK points in the first two starts without him, playing over 20 minutes a game. Eubanks averaged 24 fantasy points per game in the 17 games he played at least 18 minutes last year, and that looks like his floor with so many center minutes out of the lineup. We already talked about how good of a matchup the Thunder are, too, surrendering the third-most fantasy points to opposing centers.
Myles Turner is averaging nearly 40 fantasy points per game across his last five outings and should thrive against a subpar Sacramento defense.
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