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Opponent - CHA
Proj Pts FD - 43.08 DK - 45.54
This game between the Kings and the Hornets has the highest over/under on the slate at 227 and should be an up-and-down affair between the fourth and fifth fastest teams in the league. Fox has struggled some to start the season which has his price way down on FanDuel especially. He’s shooting just 19% from three and 39% from the field, both way down from his career averages. He is down at the free-throw line. Though some players’ struggles to start the season are well-publicized, I think we are still in “short-term blip” territory with a lot of them, Fox included.
Opponent - NO
Proj Pts FD - 53.22 DK - 58.82
Curry will face a Pelicans’ team on Friday that ranks dead last in defensive efficiency on the season with not many paths to get a whole lot better as they move forward. Charlotte tried to run him off the line more last game with their wings, but New Orleans won’t be able to do the same thing and we could see a big game from Steph. His shot attempts are down a little over the last two games, but it looks like that is more a blip than anything. I think the DraftKings price is way too high, but on FanDuel he is still very much a value.
Patrick Beverley (FD 5000 DK 4000) is a great DraftKings play with D'Angelo Russell sitting this one out again for the Timberwolves.
Opponent - BKN
Proj Pts FD - 24.24 DK - 27.53
The number one draft pick had struggled some through his first two games, going a combined 0-14 from three to start his career. That piece didn’t get a whole lot better on Thursday against the 76ers considering he just 1-7. But the rest of the line showed a lot of promise. He was second on the team with 17 shots and finished with 18 points, 10 rebounds, and four assists. The young star has plenty of fantasy upside and when the three starts falling this price is going to look downright silly.
Opponent - MIN
Proj Pts FD - 30.96 DK - 34.87
Shooting guard is a bit thinner on this slate with most of the value, on all ends of the salary scale, at the point guard position. But Reggie Jackson runs in at a value on FanDuel especially, coming under $6K. He’s played 34 or more minutes in each of the last four games, and that’s gone up in the last two. The scoring has been a bit all over the place though he’s taken 17+ shots in each of the last two. He does need to put the ball in the basket to hit value, but he’s averaging 16 points per game on the season. There are some assists and rebounds thrown in as well, but not at huge volume. Minnesota has been solid on defense, ranking in the top-10, but they also play a top-10 pace as well.
Opponent - SAC
Proj Pts FD - 41.26 DK - 43.57
Opponent - SAC
Proj Pts FD - 35.4 DK - 38.58
In and what could be a track meet game, I think we want o have some exposure to the Hornets’ side of the ball as well. Miles Bridges is already having a breakout season in his fourth year, most-definitely taking the leap so far this season. He’s doubled his shot attempts per game from last year from nine to 18 and is taking more than seven threes per game as well. It’s led to 24 points per game and he’s added in eight rebounds as well. And his efficiency numbers aren’t outliers either meaning I think there’s a good chance this sustains over the long-term. The price doesn’t actually totally reflect what he is doing this season and he’s a deal still on DraftKings.
Meanwhile, Hayward just continues to do his thing season-over-season with little deviation. He’s averaging 17 points, five rebounds, and four assists with some defensive stats thrown in as well. The price won’t cost you an arm or leg (imagine it costing both!) and he has a high floor because his minutes are completely safe. Though he isn’t the team’s first option on offense, you aren’t paying for that kind of usage either.
Strongly consider Giannis Antetokounmpo (FD 11300 DK 11800) though Jrue Holiday is back here and they have a slower matchup in the Knicks. That being said, New York hasn’t exactly been gangbusters on defense this season.
Opponent - TOR
Proj Pts FD - 36.67 DK - 37.95
Opponent - TOR
Proj Pts FD - 40.37 DK - 41.66
With Lauri Markkanen and Kevin Love out last game the Cavs were thin in the frontcourt and had to play these guys a ton of minutes. That could be in the cards again in this one facing up against Toronto. Last time out, Allen was the big fantasy winner going 40 minutes and finishing with 24 points and 17 rebounds. Mobley, for his part, struggled to find his shot, going just 5-11 from the field while also turning the ball over four times. But the rookie has flashed plenty of upside already and I like going back to the well on both sites. Stacking these guys together, in my opinion, offers a really high floor considering how much they are likely to play. And that would even be if Kevin Love returned.
I think Mo Bamba (FD 6500 DK 7100) is still in play here even though the last couple of games haven’t yielded a ton of fantasy scoring. The matchup against the Spurs is a good one with San Antonio coming in very short on frontcourt size.
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