New York Yankees' Aaron Judge bats during a baseball game against the Baltimore Orioles, Friday, June 1, 2018, in Baltimore. The Yankees won 4-1. (AP Photo/Nick Wass)
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Opponent - TEX (Kolby Allard) Park - TEX
FD - 36.69 DK - 19.73
Through his first 67 major league innings, Logan Gilbert has been very good for the Mariners. He is striking out batters at a 10.56 per nine clip, good for a 28% K rate. And the peripherals are solid as well with a better than 4:1 K:BB ration. The Rangers are a dismissal offense and they sent off their best bat in Gallo at the trade deadline. Gilbert is a -198 home favorite here, some of the best win odds on the slate. He could be a popular play here.
Opponent - COL (Jon Gray) Park - HOU
FD - 32.58 DK - 17.31
Odorizzi is not all that great of an arm, but he is in a good spot here on Tuesday. He comes into the game as a -176 home favorite against the Rockies who are a mediocre offense despite playing half their games in the best hitters park (by far) in baseball. Odorizzi is coming cheap for having such a good matchup and makes a solid DraftKings SP2 pairing thanks to a sub-$8K price point.
Opponent - WSH (Paolo Espino) Park - WSH
FD - 14.19 DK - 10.53
Alonso hasn’t been able to recreate his unreal rookie season, but he remains a very strong hitter and it tough to put down on strikes. On the season, he has 24 home runs and an OPS in the low-.800s. The Mets have one of the higher implied run lines on the day against Espino and Alonso should be hitting third in the order.
Opponent - MIN (Griffin Jax) Park - MIN
FD - 13.88 DK - 10.5
The White Sox have one of the highest run expectations on this slate facing up in a matchup against Griffin Jax. Jax has really struggled in his first 32 major league innings, not finding much in the way of swing and miss stuff and carrying in a 5.91 xFIP. Abreu is expensive here, but is worth it considering the matchup and his still remaining power.
Opponent - NYY (Nestor Cortes) Park - NYY
FD - 12.34 DK - 9.61
Merrifield has an OPS under .700 on the season, which is pretty darn bad. But he is still a good fantasy play because of his speed on the base paths. For the year he has 31 stolen bases, and does put the ball in play around 80% of the time. For his career, he is significantly better against lefties with a 123 wRC+ and .841 OPS in that split. The Royals are a weaker team, but they are also priced on the cheaper side. Merrifield is a very good DraftKings value.
Opponent - ATL (Drew Smyly) Park - ATL
FD - 11.11 DK - 8.33
Moustakas remains completely mispriced on FanDuel at $2500. Even in a matchup on the wrong side of his split, this is still a time to check in on playing him if he is still in the middle of the Reds’ order. Again, this is a FanDuel only play, but ever since he returned from the length injury absence, his price hasn’t moved there at all. Just look at the difference between FD and DK here, it just points to an error on the part of the one provider.
Opponent - MIN (Griffin Jax) Park - MIN
FD - 13.49 DK - 10.48
The White Sox are shaping up to be the cash stack here and Anderson should be at the top of the order. His .780 OPS on the season is just fine, though he doesn’t ever take any walks (4%). But the ball is in play quite a bit and he has the power / speed combo you like to see for fantasy. On the season, he has 12 home runs and 16 stolen bases, giving him crazy high upside in the right matchup. The DraftKings price is very steep, but he is an awesome value on FanDuel.
Opponent - COL (Jon Gray) Park - COL
FD - 11.55 DK - 8.69
Correa, like some of the other Houston guys, is just too cheap on DraftKings at $4100. He has bounced back some this season with a mid-800s OPS and 18 home runs. Correa has actually been able to cut down on the strikeouts while increasing the walk rate to the best of his career. While not an elite fantasy shortstop at this point, he is close and has moved up the order as well.
Opponent - MIN (Griffin Jax) Park - MIN
FD - 12.64 DK - 9.57
As long as Moncada is hitting in the cleanup slot here than I think we are getting him way too cheap on FanDuel. Like I said, Griffin Jax has really struggled and Moncada does take walks (15%) and has at least a little power (10 home runs). The spot in the order would really matter here because the White Sox have shifted things around from time to time lately. Keep an eye on where they put Moncada today.
Opponent - CHW (Dallas Keuchel) Park - CHW
FD - 12.2 DK - 9.03
The Twins shipped off some pieces at the trade deadline, so the offense isn’t all that scary, but I think we can still consider Donaldson here. When healthy, the dude has been fine this season with a mid-800s OPS and 16 home runs. He is still tough to put down on strikes and takes walks at a 15% rate as well. And for his career, he has been significantly better against lefties with a .940 OPS and 155 wRC+ in that split. Keuchel still keeps the ball on the ground a ton, but doesn’t strike anyone out at this point.
Opponent - KC (Daniel Lynch) Park - KC
FD - 15.88 DK - 11.74
Opponent - KC (Daniel Lynch) Park - KC
FD - 16.35 DK - 12.1
We haven’t mentioned Yankees in these picks yet, but there could end up being more than a few when it is all said and done. They are facing lefty Daniel Lynch who has failed to produce much in the way of strikeouts in his shorter MLB career. And that could be a real problem against Judge and Stanton who should hit 2-3 in the lineup today. Judge has tuned up lefties for his career with a .964 OPS and 159 wRC+ in that split. He strikes out a lot, but that isn’t a concern against Lynch.
And then there is Stanton who has been even better against southpaws. He has a clean 1.000 OPS and .415 wOBA against lefties, and only strikes out 25% of the time in that split. Stacking both of these guys in cash is the way to go and we could be able to load up on bats if pitching isn’t going to cost an arm and a leg.
Eloy Jiménez (FD $3400 DK $4400) is still coming on the cheaper side for a middle-of-the-order bat in the White Sox lineup.
I don’t mind Anthony Santander (FD $2700 DK $2600) coming cheap on both sites, especially DraftKings.
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