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FanDuel NBA Picks and DraftKings NBA Picks - Monday 3/22/21
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Point Guard
Derrick White FD - $5200 DK - $5800
Opponent - CHA
Proj Pts FD - 33.67 DK - 33.59
Dejounte Murray FD - $7700 DK - $7400
Opponent - CHA
Proj Pts FD - 39.49 DK - 39.66
We'll start with the Spurs' backcourt duo, who both appear to be under-priced against a Charlotte team that's been a top ten match-up for opposing guards this season. White is a great value here. He's priced like the guy who was playing 25 minutes upon his return, not the guy who has settled back into 33+ minute rotations since. Murray isn't quite as good a pure value play, but we still like him plenty here considering the fact that he's played 36 and 39 minutes in his last two games. You can do a lot worse than running both Spurs out there tonight.
Malcolm Brogdon FD - $6900 DK - $7200
Opponent - MIL
Proj Pts FD - 40.57 DK - 42.07
These prices on Brogdon are embarrassing. An embarrassment! He's averaged better than 5x these prices on the season, and his 36+ minute rotations mean the floor is excellent on sub $7k prices. The Bucks have a tough defense, but they also play the fourth-fastest pace in the league, leaving a lot of possessions for the Pacers' primary ball-handler to get his.
Shooting Guard
Caris Levert FD - $5600 DK - $6400
Opponent - MIL
Proj Pts FD - 40.16 DK - 41.17
LeVert hasn't lit the world on fire the way you'd think given the minutes he's been playing, but on these prices, I'm honestly not sure it matters. While the final line against the Heat might not excite you, it probably should. LeVert got 18 shots in the air (after getting up 16 two games prior), and he is obviously a fixture in the Indiana office right now. The shots will start falling eventually, and we should see LeVert's price march back up to his Brooklyn levels (mid 7s at least) in short order.
Marcus Smart FD - $5000 DK - $5600
Opponent - MEM
Proj Pts FD - 30.41 DK - 29.83
Smart is back to 32+ minute rotations, and like LeVert, is probably a price and opportunity mismatch right now. He's on a streak of three straight games with balanced 27+ FanDuel point lines, and that streak should continue against a Memphis team that ranks 8th in the NBA in pace this season.
Also considered: Grayson Allen, if he starts again.
Small Forward
Keldon Johnson FD - $5400 DK - $5900
Opponent - CHA
Proj Pts FD - 35.43 DK - 35.75
What is honestly going on with Keldon Johnson's price right now? He's averaged 36 minutes and 45 FanDuel Points over his last two games, and tonight he'll be up against a Charlotte team that's allowed the third most fantasy points to opposing small forwards this season. Johnson is a rock-solid value play tonight, and I like him in every format.
Kawhi Leonard FD - $9500 DK - $8900
Opponent - ATL
Proj Pts FD - 50.14 DK - 50.48
With so much value floating around tonight, we'll need to pay up somewhere. Why not Kawhi Leonard? The Clippers' All NBA forward has seen a price decrease thanks to erratic minutes recently, but that has everything to do with bizarre game scripts and nothing to do with how the Clippers hope to use him. He's actually playing 37-40 minutes in close games right now, and Vegas sees this as roughly a 6 point contest. The Hawks are basically a league average match-up in every respect, but if Leonard gets his minutes, he should fill it up for you here.
UPDATE: After this article was released, Giannis was downgraded to doubtful. As a result, Khris Middleton is probably a must-play.
Keep an eye on Victor Oladipo's status. If he sits, Kevin Porter Jr. will likely start in his place, and would be a great option.
Power Forward
Christian Wood FD - $8100 DK - $8000
Opponent - TOR
Proj Pts FD - 48.77 DK - 50.44
Well, the theme of this article is officially "guys who are priced like they just came back but are actually playing their full rotation now." Okay, that was a pretty long theme sentence. But still. Wood's minutes jumped from 26 and 27 in his first two games back to 36 against the Thunder, and he owned them for 27/8/2/2/1. Tonight he'll take on a Raptors squad that's had a hell of a time against opposing power forwards this season, allowing the third-most fantasy points per game to them. Wood is almost a must for me in cash games as a result.
Marcus Morris FD - $3700 DK - $5000
Opponent - ATL
Proj Pts FD - 26.94 DK - 28.35
More asleep at the wheel pricing on FanDuel, it seems. In close games, Morris has been playing 30-36 minutes and topped 28 FanDuel points in his last two close games. It's a solid match-up with the Hawks, but honestly, that's almost beside the point given how ridiculous the value is here.
Also considered: Aleksej Pokuševski, if you think the minutes return.
Center
Jarrett Allen FD - $6700 DK - $7600
Opponent - SAC
Proj Pts FD - 38.31 DK - 38.93
Allen has come back down to earth a little bit, but not to the degree that his FanDuel price suggests. He's not shooting as often as it appeared he might in late February, but his blocks and boards give him plenty of floor. The Kings have allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing centers this season. I think Allen is a steady cash game option.
Also considered: Moses Brown, if he gets the start again.
