Cleveland Cavaliers center Jarrett Allen (31) dunks against the Phoenix Suns during the first half of an NBA basketball game, Monday, Feb. 8, 2021, in Phoenix. (AP Photo/Matt York)
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Opponent - ORL
Proj Pts FD - 55.71 DK - 57.98
Tonight's slate is actually a pretty tough one, but there is a reasonable amount of cheap value to go around, leaving us room to pay up for Luka tonight. Doncic's price has dipped a bit after a few weird game scripts, but we know that in normal games he'll be out there for 37+ minute rotations. The Magic have been ruined by opposing point guards this season, allowing the fourth most fantasy points to opposing PGs this year. Luka is a great play in any format.
Opponent - POR
Proj Pts FD - 45.19 DK - 46.36
LaMelo is on the fast track to Rookie of the Year honors, and while Lillard was a long shot MVP candidate a couple weeks ago, nobody will mistake him for the defensive player of the year. The Trail Blazers have allowed the fifth most fantasy points to opposing point guards this season, and Ball's production is just headed in the right direction right now. He's getting a little pricey on DraftKings, but this FanDuel price is still pretty choice.
Keep an eye on: Malcolm Brogdon. If he misses again, TJ McConnell would be an automatic play.
Opponent - POR
Proj Pts FD - 39.78 DK - 41.4
Rozier has cooled down since the incredible four game run he put together in early and mid February, and while his DraftKings price has held constant, his FanDuel price has become too cheap. It's a great match-up with Portland, whose defensive efficiency has fallen to third worst in the league during their current four game skid. Hayward is likely to miss this one with his lingering hand issue, which would certainly sweeten the deal. Shooting guard is very shallow tonight, and Rozier should bring a reasonable floor.
Opponent - SA
Proj Pts FD - 28.2 DK - 27.85
Don't look now, but everyone's favorite Nets is the unlikely Bruce Brown. He's found an incredible niche playing alongside Harden and Kyrie, somehow generating a center's shot chart and field goal percentage out of his 6'4" frame. With 5x-8x points per dollar on these prices in his last four games, and a solid 30 minute rotation to work with, Brown is a terrific cheap option at a truly grizzly shooting guard position today.
Opponent - CHI
Proj Pts FD - 34.84 DK - 35.18
In the two games prior to the Nuggets' blowing out the Thunder, Porter played 39 and 40 minutes respectivley, posting 5x points per dollar on this FanDuel price in the process. With double doubles in each of his last three games, he seems to have finally found the role the Nuggets were hoping for as a member of the starting lineup. He's too cheap here, and this is a nice match-up with the Bulls, who pair a below average defense with the league's 6th fastest PACE.
Opponent - PHI
Proj Pts FD - 23.24 DK - 23.52
Holiday has been doing his best with the extra minutes left over from TJ Warren and Caris Levert, and is playing 31-35 minute rotations with regularity these days. And aside from the 13 FanDuel point performance against Golden State, he's delivered on these prices, by and large. It's not a terrific match-up with Philly, but given all the flux throughout this slate he ought to provide a solid floor at a cheap price so you can grab more expensive safety elsewehre.
Gordon Hayward will be a great play if he's in there, and Malik Monk will be a great play if he sits.
Opponent - DEN
Proj Pts FD - 31.15 DK - 31.44
Williams was on three straight days of 5x points per dollar before a dud against the Suns, and tonight he'll fire it up against a Denver front court that's without Millsap and Green. He's a little more erratic than you'd like to see, but at these prices I'm not sure beggars can be choosers. While we've called a few positions tough tonight, power forward takes the cake, with just two players projected for 5x points per dollar or better. Williams should at least get his 30 minutes, and 5x should be in the cards tonight.
Opponent - CHA
Proj Pts FD - 27.38 DK - 26.33
While he's a little more expensive, I'm just not going to give up on Robert Covington here. His game log is a complete enigma - you've got 40+ FanDuel point performances mixed in with entire no-shows. What tilts the scales in his favor for me is this true dream-spot, going up against a Charlotte team that's allowed the very most fantasy points per game to opposing power forwards this season. Covington and Williams represent a relatively high floor duo here, and at this point I'll take what I can get unless more value comes on the board.
If Keldon Johnson sits, Trey Lyles is an interesting cheap option out of the starting lineup.
Opponent - HOU
Proj Pts FD - 46.35 DK - 46.8
The Jarrett Allen domination train took a night off against Philly, but tonight he gets a rematch against a team he truly embarrassed in the Houston Rockets. With Boogie out of the picture, the Rockets are simply too small to contend with Allen's size and athleticism, as evidenced by the ridiculous 26/18 he dropped against them two games ago. The price is still cheap enough, and I greatly prefer Allen to his more expensive counter-parts tonight.
Both Vucevic and Embiid are great plays if you find yourself with extra money to spend at center tonight.
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