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Opponent - BKN
Proj Pts FD - 54.62 DK - 57.92
Though they played well against the Pacers, the Nets are still a bottom-five defense on the season and this game will have the highest implied total of the four-game slate. Curry is a man on a mission this season, averaging 30 points per game on 44% from three while also tacking on six assists and five rebounds. He’s played in every game and has put what remains of the Warriors on his shoulders. For the short slate, he’s a tough fade considering the matchup.
Opponent - ATL
Proj Pts FD - 39.15 DK - 40.12
Brogdon is taking the most threes of his career, close to seven per game, and also shooting more efficiently from beyond the arc at 39%. He’s also averaging about 36 minutes per game and the shots have ticked up a bit since Victor Oladipo was shipped out in the James Harden trade a few weeks ago. If anything, his overall field goal percentage (44%) is a little low for his career averages, though that could be because of the spike in threes. Regardless, he’s a solid cash play here against the Hawks.
Opponent - MIA
Proj Pts FD - 45.95 DK - 48.59
Opponent - MIA
Proj Pts FD - 28.68 DK - 30.16
Are the Utah Jazz the best team in basketball? Probably not when it’s all said and done, but it’s hard to argue with what they are doing right now. They are going off a decisive win over the Bucks on Friday and own a league-best 21-5 record. Much of it, especially in the short-term is because of the play of Donovan Mitchell and Jordan Clarkson. With Mike Conley out of the lineup, Mitchell has averaged 28 points over the last five games on 20 shots per game. He’s shot 44% from three on almost nine attempts during that stretch as well.
Meanwhile, Clarkson is the easy frontrunner for 6th-Man of the Year this season and has been unbelievable off the bench. In that same stretch, he’s putting up about 18 points per game in just 27 minutes and capped it off on Friday with a 25 point, five-assist, four rebound game against Milwaukee. Now, the one caveat with both of these plays is that Mike Conley could return for this game. That would leave fewer guard minutes and would ding both plays considerably with Mitchell and Clarkson’s prices rising in the short-term. Keep an eye on this situation leading into lineup lock.
Opponent - MIA
Proj Pts FD - 30.93 DK - 32.95
Ingles was among the highest-owned plays on his last two slates which makes sense considering he’s been starting in place of Mike Conley over the last few games. He’s paid off as a value play with an exceptional Friday night performance against the Bucks in which he poured in 27 points thanks to a flamethrower 7-9 from beyond the arc. This scoring is an outlier of course, but he’s still a very good cash play if Conley is out of the lineup again. That last piece is the big “if” though because if coming off the bench Ingles becomes too risky a play at these prices.
Opponent - ATL
Proj Pts FD - 21.95 DK - 23.28
McDermott got the start for Indiana on Thursday, replacing Jeremy Lamb in that spot. Though he played 30 minutes, Dougie McBuckets wasn’t able to translate that to a high-end fantasy performance, scoring only nine points on 4-10 shooting. That being said, small forward is a weaker position and will be made even worse if Ingles is taken out of the picture. If McDermott is in the starting lineup again facing Atlanta I think you can take a flyer on his with the hope the three-ball is falling and minutes remain around 30.
Opponent - HOU
Proj Pts FD - 44.54 DK - 48.27
Opponent - HOU
Proj Pts FD - 28.23 DK - 25.12
On Friday, the Knicks were dealt a blow when they lost Mitchell Robinson for an extended period because of a broken hand. That’s going to leave them a little thinner on the front line against Houston. Both Randle and Noel are set to capitalize from a fantasy perspective. Statistically, Randle is easily having the best season of his career averaging 22 points, 11 rebounds, and six assists in almost 37 minutes per game. While he hasn’t been quite as efficient from the field, he’s still getting to the more than six times per game and shooting 80% from the stripe. Against a weaker Houston interior defense, he’s a strong, high-floor cash play.
Meanwhile, Noel started the second half for the Knicks on Friday when Robinson went down and that should be the case again on Saturday. Long a fantasy-point-per-minute darling Noel will likely be the highest-owned punt play on this slate considering his price didn’t have a chance to adjust overnight. His per minutes stats this season are merely *meh* but he’s a clear cash game play if he’s in the starting lineup against Houston.
Opponent - NY
Proj Pts FD - 35.47 DK - 37.41
It hasn’t been all great for Cousins since rejoining the starting lineup with Christian Wood out because of injury. There have been some peak performances (or peak halves) but he’s failed to top 25 minutes in any of the last three games. There’s some context there with foul trouble buzzing him off last game. He still put up 16 points and 11 rebounds in just 25 minutes. The Knicks will be without Robinson on the interior and center doesn’t have all that many enticing plays. I think we can take another run at Cousins here, especially on FanDuel with the understanding that 30+ minutes probably aren’t walking back in through that door.
Opponent - MIA
Proj Pts FD - 43.14 DK - 43.19
Gobert is more of a DraftKings play here with the price basically stuck in the lower-$7K range. This is a dude built for the double-double bonus over there and on the season is averaging 14 points, 13 rebounds and almost three blocks per game. I’m not all that concerned with the matchup against Miami on the shorter slate and unlike the other Jazz players mentioned, he isn’t affected by the return of Mike Conley if that were to happen. Again, this is a fantastic DraftKings play and you can run both he and Noel (a C on DK) in lineups for cash.
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