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FanDuel NBA Picks and DraftKings NBA Picks - Sunday, 2/7/21
It's Super Bowl Sunday, but that doesn't mean the day is all about football. There's still plenty of early hoops to get you going and some interesting value plays to take a look at.
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Point Guard
Kemba Walker FD - $5700 DK - $6800
Opponent - PHO
Proj Pts FD - 37.32 DK - 38.2
Kemba will be a popular play on Sunday, especially on FanDuel where he remains significantly underpriced since coming back from the knee injury. He’s played more than 30 minutes in each of the last two games and that should be the case again against the Suns. In the last two, since the minutes' increase, he’s averaging 22 points and five assists on 18.5 shots per game. With Jaylen Brown out once again, he and Tatum should soak up a majority of the usage.
Terry Rozier FD - $6100 DK - $5600
Opponent - WAS
Proj Pts FD - 36.55 DK - 37.68
Devonte' Graham has already been ruled out for this game which should leave some guard minutes open for Rozier. Even with more mouths to feed on Charlotte this season, Rozier is still maintaining the scoring he saw last year, averaging 18 points and getting up more than seven threes per game. He’s shooting 43% from beyond the arc and will need to put the ball in the basket to hit value. But there’s a good chance of that in this game against the Wizards who are the second-worst defense in the league this season.
Shooting Guard
Donovan Mitchell FD - $7800 DK - $7900
Opponent - IND
Proj Pts FD - 38.41 DK - 40.87 Mike Conley has already been ruled out for this game which could turn even more of the ball-handling duties over to Mitchell in the offense. He struggled to start the season, but has been finding more of his scoring stroke in the short term with 30 or more points in two of the last three games. He’s shot 57% from three in that stretch which is run hot, but he’s also getting up 18 shots per game. That could tick up a little more in this game as well. The price is fair on both sites and he should play 35-36 minutes if the game stays close.
Jordan Clarkson FD - $5000 DK - $5700
Opponent - IND
Proj Pts FD - 32.39 DK - 34.09
Clarkson has been an absolute per minute scoring beast this season. In just 25 minutes he’s averaging 17 points per game which is a career-high. The 3.5 rebounds and 4.3 assists are career highs as well. He’s just putting together his best season yet. And with Conley out of the lineup, the minutes could tick up to around 30 because they’ll need some of his ball-handling and scoring with the second unit even more. He’s set to close in a closer game as well. Clarkson is a great option on both sites.
Small Forward
Kawhi Leonard FD - $9900 DK - $9100
Opponent - SAC
Proj Pts FD - 52.82 DK - 52.59
Paul George has already been ruled out for this game and that should leave Kawhi as a chalkier cash game option. It will be the right move. On the season, Kawhi has a 29% usage rate, but when George is off the court that ticks up to 33%. The rebounds get a bump as well for Leonard and he should be locked into high 30’s minutes. On Friday, without PG Kawhi put up 28 points and 11 rebounds in 37 minutes against the Celtics. A similar line could be in store against the Kings who remain the worst defensive team in the league this season.
Nicolas Batum FD - $5200 DK - $5100
Opponent - SAC
Proj Pts FD - 30.18 DK - 30.67
Stacking some Clippers without Paul George against the Kings is going to be in order and Batum is the next place to go right after Leonard. Like Kawhi, Batum gets a bump in shooting and rebounding with PG off and last game ran a team-high 39 minutes. That helped him to 16 points and seven rebounds while taking the second-most shots on the team. The mid-tier price will helpful here in rounding out lineups and the minutes' floor is very high.
Strongly consider Joe Ingles (FD $4500 DK $5300) who will likely start in place of Mike Conley. The FanDuel price is almost too low to pass up.
Also, Gordon Hayward (FD $7600 DK $8000) could be a tough fade her against the Wizards and the Hornets playing without Graham.
Power Forward
Frank Kaminsky FD - $4500 DK - $3700
Opponent - BOS
Proj Pts FD - 26.45 DK - 26.43
Kaminsky drew the start for the injured Jae Crowder on Friday and promptly put up 15 points and five rebounds on 71% shooting. That’s a little hotter than he’s expected to shoot, but I also think the 22 minutes were on the low side considering the starting role. Let’s call it even and assume he plays a little bit more but shoots a little worse. That still puts him as a value play at a weaker position, especially on DraftKings where he’s coming close to the minimum.
Daniel Theis FD - $4900 DK - $4400
Opponent - PHO
Proj Pts FD - 26.85 DK - 26.35
Grant Williams FD - $3800 DK - $3600
Opponent - PHO
Proj Pts FD - 18.68 DK - 19.22
I like getting out of the power forward position on the cheaper side on this slate so we can spend up for the likes of Kawhi Leonard and Donovan Mitchell especially. I suppose some will want to go Jayson Tatum in this spot and it wouldn’t be wrong, but Phoenix has been a top-five defense this season, and paying top dollar for Tatum might be a stretch even with the increased usage. Theis left last game early but isn’t on the injury report for this game.
Meanwhile, Grant Williams drew the start for the injured Jaylen Brown on Friday and should be there again on Sunday. He played 32 minutes and found his way to 11 points and four rebounds. The DraftKings price, near the minimum, could leave a lot of flexibility around other plays.
Center
Cody Zeller FD - $5800 DK - $6000
Opponent - WAS
Proj Pts FD - 31.97 DK - 32.93
Since reentering the starting lineup six games ago, Zeller has been incredibly productive. He’s putting up a double-double of 10 points and 10 rebounds per game in that stretch while also averaging 1.5 blocks+steals as well. The Wizards without Thomas Bryant have struggled to defend the paint and honestly, they weren’t all that good with him. This is a pretty easy FanDuel play for the smaller slate and gives you a high floor at the position without breaking the bank.
Rudy Gobert FD - $8500 DK - $7300
Opponent - IND
Proj Pts FD - 43.83 DK - 43.36
You might end up going double center on DraftKings because Gobert’s price is just still too cheap over there. He’s basically a walking double-double and only hasn’t put up big games in the short term because he hasn’t needed to play a lot of crunch time because of blowouts. When the games are close, he’s good for mid-30’s minutes. This is a guy averaging 13 points and 13 rebounds per game with close to three blocks as well. He’s a near automatic DraftKings play in the low-$7K range.
