If you're into DFS chaos, this is going to be your slate. We have 12 games in total on this slate, with numerous injuries and COVID protocol violations. That means a lot of things will change all the way up until first tip and it's imperative to keep your eyes and ears on the news. We do have some information now though and we'll bank on some of those circumstances to find some value.
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Opponent - MIN
Proj Pts FD - 51.66 DK - 54.62
What is with this pricing? We'd probably recommend Curry if he was a five-figure player but this $9,300 on DraftKings is ridiculous. We're talking about a guy who's averaging 28.4 points, 5.5 rebounds, 6.0 assists and 1.2 steals per game. That equates to 48 fantasy points per outing, with Curry dropping at least 44 DK points in four-straight. One of those happened to come against these T'Wolves, with Curry splashing 54 DK points on them Monday Night. That's really no surprise when you consider that Minnesota ranks fifth in pace and 27th in both points allowed and defensive efficiency.
Opponent - SAC
Proj Pts FD - 27.77 DK - 28.9
While this rookie struggled early on, it appears he's starting to get his feet underneath him. An injury to Markelle Fultz really opened up a ton of minutes for Cole, starting at PG and playing 30 minutes a night over his last 11 games. His statistics have been on the uptick too, averaging 28 DraftKings points per game over his last eight fixtures. That's a heck of a total from a player in the $5,000s on both sites and one has to believe this is just the beginning of a great career. The matchup is the icing on the cake though, with Sacramento ranked 29th in total defense.
If Tyler Herro and Jimmy Butler remain out, Goran Dragic is a great value around $6,000.
Opponent - WAS
Proj Pts FD - 31.07 DK - 32.16
Bledsoe is always one of our favorite picks because of how cheap he remains and it's strange considering he's been playing better recently. If you take out the game where he was limited because of injury, Bledsoe is averaging 28.5 DK points per game across his last nine fixtures. That's usually what you see from a $6,500 player and he's been doing that despite providing many defensive statistics. His best asset is usually his defense and it's just a matter of time before he starts adding that to his repertoire. The best part about this play is the matchup though, with Washington owning the worst defense in the NBA.
Opponent - UTA
Proj Pts FD - 29.53 DK - 31.11
This play does come with some stipulations. That happens to be the status of Dorian Finney-Smith, Josh Richardson and Maxi Kleber, with all three guys in the COVID protocol. If all three remain out here, we love THJ. We say that because he's been firing up shots in their absences, averaging 15 shots a night since the calendar turned to 2021. He's also playing 34 minutes a game in that span too and it's hard to find a guy below $6K who takes that many shots and records that many minutes.
If you have the salary, Bradley Beal is always a great pick, especially with Russell Westbrook likely sitting in the second half of a B2B set.
Opponent - SA
Proj Pts FD - 49.19 DK - 50.25
A lot of people are talking about Jerami Grant and Christian Wood getting the Most Improved Player Award but we can't forget about this guy. While Brown was good last season, he's established himself as an All-Star candidate this year. In fact, Jaylen is now averaging 27.3 points, 5.8 rebounds, 3.4 assists and 1.5 steals per game. That's nearly 44 DraftKings per game and anyone producing like that below $10K is definitely in play. We really don't mind the matchup either, with San Antonio surrendering the most fantasy points in the NBA to opposing small forwards.
Opponent - OKC
Proj Pts FD - 33.19 DK - 33.58
With Devin Booker expected to miss this game, Bridges should be in for a big workload. That means more minutes, shots and ball-handling, which is huge for a defensive stud who regularly plays 35 minutes a night anyway. He's been balling out recently too, scoring at least 22 DK points in six-straight while averaging 33 fantasy points per game in that span. That happens to match his projection for us and if he does that again, we're talking about a guy providing 6X value. Oklahoma City owning a 28th OPRK against opposing small forwards only adds to his intrigue.
Josh Jackson is a good punt play with his minutes slowly creeping up.
Opponent - DEN
Proj Pts FD - 47.31 DK - 49.38
Can we just talk a second about how good this guy is? Bam has turned into one of the best two-way players in the NBA and it's incredible to watch him play. His frantic pace has led to some stellar fantasy production, averaging 43 DK points per game for the season. What adds to his value here is the fact that Butler and Herro remain out, which has allowed Bam to run the offense. In this expanded role, Adebayo is averaging 46 DraftKings points per game over his last six outings. Facing Denver isn't too shabby either, with the Nuggets ranked 25th in defensive efficiency. Nikola Jokic is a beast on offense but he's certainly not capable of slowing down Bam.
Opponent - PHO
Proj Pts FD - 24.99 DK - 24.98
If Al Horford sits this game out yet again, we love Roby in this price range. What's really bizarre is the fact that these sites refuse to raise his price, despite scoring at least 24 DK points in five of his six starts. That has led to him averaging 27 DraftKings points per game in that span which is north of 5X value. He's done that despite having a limited usage rate and it's just a matter of time before they start giving him the ball and letting him work. Phoenix has struggled with opposing bigs too, owning a 23rd OPRK against centers this season.
Aaron Gordon has been doing a lot of ball-handling for Orlando and that makes him enticing against a terrible Kings defense.
Opponent - SAC
Proj Pts FD - 48.99 DK - 51.59
Talk about someone who's underrated. Vooch has been posting double-doubles ever since he joined the NBA and it seems like he never gets the credit he deserves. His floor has been particularly impressive this season, scoring at least 32 DraftKings points in every game. He's been even better recently, scoring at least 45 DK points in nine of his last 10 games en route to a 49-point average. That 49-point average might actually be the floor here, with Sacramento sitting bottom-three in nearly every defensive metric.
Opponent - GS
Proj Pts FD - 29.19 DK - 28.52
While this DraftKings price is probably appropriate, this FanDuel one is not. This guy has been playing at a $6K level ever since he got the starting job from Karl-Anthony Towns and it's hard to understand why they're keeping him so cheap. In his eight starts this year, Reid is averaging 28 DK points per game, despite struggling in the first two weeks. That's a huge total from a $5K player and one would have to believe 28 DK points is a strong possibility against one of the worst defenses in the NBA. These teams actually just played two nights ago and Reid recorded a double-double en route to 30 fantasy points.
Mason Plumlee has been a pleasant surprise this season and is too cheap on both sites in the $5K-range.
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