Daily Fantasy NFL GPP Leverage Plays for FanDuel and DraftKings - Week 11

The 2020 NFL season is now in full swing and the DFSR team has covered in every area. Earlier in the week, we covered Cash Game Plays, our Top Bets, and looked at Injury Report.

Now let's take a look at a few possible low owned GPP plays based on some of the industry buzz and ownership projections. Keep in mind, these are not safe plays and are generally very boom or bust. Roster accordingly.

Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL and MLB optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below.

Quarterback

The Chalk - Lamar Jackson, Justin Herbert, Ben Roethlisberger

The Pivot
Aaron Rodgers FD 9000 DK 7000
Opponent IND
Proj Points FD - 17.6 DK - 18.01

I am going to start at the quarterback position this week as I feel there is some terrific leverage here. First of all, I see all three chalk quarterbacks listed above being popular this week, especially Herbert in an elite spot vs. the Jets. This should help push Rodgers ownership down which was already projected lower due to the matchup vs. the Colts who rank 2nd in passing yards per game allowed and 1st in fantasy points allowed to the QB position. I am not worried for multiple reasons starting with the fact the Colts have only played against one team(TEN #2) ranked inside the Top 15 in DVOA passing offense and only four teams ranked inside the Top 20. Three times they have given up 20+ DK points to a QB and they were Stafford(Week 8), Burrow(Week 6), Minshew(Week 1) and Aaron Rodgers is *cough cough* a much better quarterback than all three of those(very tough to get that out being a Vikings fan).

For Rodgers, outside of the Tampa game, he has been terrific this season tallying 19+ DK points in every game, scoring 25+ six times, and 29+ four times. He is gifted an elite wideout in Davante Adams and an elite running back in Aaron Jones who is also a top pass-catching back. Finally, I found this very interesting from Zach Kruse on Twitter and it aligns as GB is ranked #3 in pass protection while the Colts pass rush is ranked 15th this season.

#Packers QB Aaron Rodgers when kept clean in the pocket in 2020, per @PFF:

– 83.7 adjusted completion percentage (5th)
– 25 touchdown passes (1st)
– 130.0 passer rating (1st)

Kept clean on 77.2% of dropbacks (2nd)

— Zach Kruse (@zachkruse2) November 20, 2020

I am absolutely loving the leverage here with Packers stacks in GPP formats.

Running Back

The Chalk - Dalvin Cook, Alvin Kamara, Mike Davis

The Pivot
Nick Chubb FD 8100 DK 7000
Opponent PHI
Proj Points FD - 12.16 DK - 12.55
Kareem Hunt FD 6700 DK 6700
Opponent PHI
Proj Points FD - 12.43 DK - 13.22

There are tons of leverage spots at the running back position this week as the ownership with Cook, Kamara, and Davis specifically should lower everyone else a ton. There is risk with all the pivot options but I personally love going with one or both of the Browns running backs. With Chubb back in the lineup last week, they pretty much split touches(22-19) and both topped 100+ rushing yards against the Texans. It was the second time in five games played together that both backs have topped 100 yards from scrimmage in a game. In fact, Kareem Hunt is averaging over 6 DK points per game more with Chubb in the lineup.

The matchup may look scary on paper as the Eagles have allowed the 9th fewest fantasy points to running backs but have given up 151 yards & 3 TD(NYG),  133 yards(DAL), 160 yards and 1 TD(NYG), 182 yards & 2 TD(BAL) rushing over the last four weeks. The Browns are slight home favorites(-3) here and will once again be looking to run the ball down the opponents throat and at sub 10% and possibly sub 5% ownership, I love these backs for GPP contests and will even have a couple lineups pairing them together.

GRAB A FREE TRIAL OF OUR PROJECTION SYSTEM, AND CHECK OUT DFSR PRO!