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Daily Fantasy NFL GPP Leverage Plays for FanDuel and DraftKings - Week 9
The 2020 NFL season is now in full swing and the DFSR team has covered in every area. Earlier in the week, we covered Cash Game Plays, our Top Bets, and looked at Injury Report.
Now let's take a look at a few possible low owned GPP plays based on some of the industry buzz and ownership projections.
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Running Back
The Chalk - David Johnson, Justin Jackson
The Pivot
Antonio Gibson FD 6200 DK 5800
Opponent NYG
Proj Points FD - 15.03 DK - 16.73
Both Johnson and Jackson have favorable matchups this week and have been getting a ton of buzz. What stands out right away is that Antonio Gibson is projected slightly higher than both in our system yet it appears he could be much lower owned, especially considering he was held in check against the Giants in Week 6. The good news is that he is coming off a huge week in which he carried the ball 20 times for 128 yards and a touchdown. He isn't overly involved in teh passing game but does have five targets in three of his last four games and has now tallied double-digit DK points in five of his last six, topping 20 points twice. The combination of a projected Top 5-10 performance and projected low ownership outside the Top 10 has him as one of my favorite GPP pivots at the running back position.
QB/WR Stack
The Chalk - Justin Herbert/Keenan Allen(LAC), Josh Allen/Stefon Diggs(BUF), Russell Wilson/Tyler Lockett or DK Metcalf(SEA)
The Pivot
Kyler Murray FD 8600 DK 7800
Opponent MIA
Proj Points FD - 23.81 DK - 24.58
DeAndre Hopkins FD 8800 DK 8200
Opponent MIA
Proj Points FD - 17.98 DK - 22.05
All three of the chalky stacks I listed above are great options in their own right but I also love the pivot to Murray/Hopkins who are both projected to be under 10% owned in GPP formats. That is great news as they are at or near the top of our projections on both sites. Kyler comes in having put up at least 24 DK/23 FD points in every game with a ceiling of 41 DK/38 FD points. For Hopkins, he has fit in nicely in Arizona and is one of just four players averaging double-digit targets per game and he has made the most of those targets leading the league with 704 receiving yards, topping 100 yards four times already.
While the Dolphins have limited teams to just eight touchdowns through the air, they have allowed 250.9 passing yards per game(20th) and have given up 24 or more DK points to QB's in three of seven games(NE, SEA, BUF). In those other games, they have faced Minshew, Garoppolo/Beathard, Darnold, Goff.
Both teams are ranked Top 10 in pace so I am expecting a lot of scoring in this game. Give me the elite upside and low ownership in GPP all day long.