Daily Fantasy NFL GPP Leverage Plays for FanDuel and DraftKings - Week 4

The 2020 NFL season is now in full swing and the DFSR team has covered in every area. Earlier in the week, we covered Cash Game Plays, our Top Bets, and looked at Injury Report.

Now let's take a look at a few possible low owned GPP plays based on some of the industry buzz and ownership projections. Keep in mind, these are not safe plays and are generally very boom or bust. Roster accordingly.

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Lamar Jackson FD 9600 DK 8100
Opponent WAS
Proj Points FD - 22.89 DK - 23.43

The chalk at the quarterback position this week should fall on Russell Wilson, Dak Prescott, Kyle Murray, and even Josh Allen to an extent. That leaves a huge hole in ownership at the top of the salary where the last two league MVP's sit. I lean Lamar Jackson here with the new unknown in the Pats/Chiefs game as Cam Newton came down with a positive COVID test. Stay tuned for more news there.

For Lamar, on top of all the other quarterbacks in great spots his performance against the Chiefs on Monday Night Football helps drive that ownership projection down, as well. The Chiefs are really the only team to hold that has held Lamar in check(twice) over the past two years so I am really not too concerned. While the matchup may not seem that great on the surface as Washington ranks 5th in passing yard per game allowed, they rank 19th in fantasy points per game allowed to QB's. As you would suspect, a lot of that ranking also comes from rushing as they have given up the 9th most rushing yards to QB's and that is where a ton of Lamar's upside lies.

I would not be surprised to see Lamar rebound in a huge way rushing for 100+ yards and tallying multiple touchdowns leading to a spot in the optimal GPP lineup this week. The best part is that at low ownership we don't need a ton of exposure in our multi-entry builds to have more than the field. Let's buckle up and hope for more post-game interviews like this.

Devin Singletary FD 6000 DK 5900
Opponent LV
Proj Points FD - 10.59 DK - 12.16

At the running back position, Devin Singletary is another player who is projected to have low ownership despite a terrific matchup. With rookie Zack Moss ruled out in Week 3, Singletary took over bell-cow duties seeing the field on 87% of the Bills snaps with no other running back getting over 10%. Moss was limited in practice Wednesday through Friday this week but is still questionable but even if he plays, I see the snap and touch share going in favor of Singletary.

That is greats news considering the matchup as the Raiders rank 28th in rushing yards against and dead last in fantasy points per game given up to the running back position. The Bills are also three-point road favorites in this game with a 52.5 total. The upside combined with low ownership is a perfect recipe for a GPP winning lineup. You can also pair Singeltary with the Bills defense to maximize on some possible turnovers and short-field drives for touchdowns.

A.J. Green FD 5700 DK 5500
Opponent JAX
Proj Points FD - 12.65 DK - 15.28

Even with two games on the main slate already postponed(NE@KC, PIT@TEN), there are five games with a total of 50 or points when looking at the Vegas lines. This is not one of them as it currently sits at 49 and that alone I think drops ownership of players in this game. That is something I love to see as the Bengals throw the ball 66.8% of the time which is second behind only the Giants.

My favorite wideout in the game is Tyler Boyd who has been much more consistent catching 81% of his targets while Green has caught just 46% of his targets. This means Green should be much lower owned and has actually got two more targets than Boyd on the season and hs more projected upside with a 13.7 aDOT(average depth of target) vs. Boyd's 8.3 aDOT. I am willing to take the risk on the slow start considering the projected rock-bottom ownership and upside he brings to the table. Oh ya, and he comes with a sub $6K price tag on both sites.

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