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Daily Fantasy NFL GPP Leverage Plays for FanDuel and DraftKings - Week 1
Welcome back football fans. The 2020 season is actually happening and we are extremely excited to bring you our weekly articles, podcasts, and suite of fantasy tools.
In this article, I will be looking at some plays who may not necessarily be optimal going in but have big upside and could be very low owned, leading to a huge GPP payday. Let's get started.
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Aaron Jones FD 7800 DK 6900
Opponent MIN
Proj Points FD - 14.75 DK - 16.22
It is pretty clear where people will mostly be going at running back this week. Paying up for Christian McCaffrey and pairing him with Antonio Gibson or going a bit more balanced and pairing Josh Jacobs with Austin Ekeler. I definitely favor the latter in week one and that creates a pivot with Aaron Jones who falls right in between Jacobs and Ekeler on DraftKings. He is likely going to be around 5% owned and while he does have competition for touches(Williams & Dillon) he had that last year for the most part and still flashed huge upside. Also of note, Jones had a nice 16% target share in the redzone for the Packers. While there is risk with Jones and possibly fading one of the other backs, you don't have to have a ton of exposure here to have more than the field and maximize on another Aaron Jones ceiling game.
Stefon Diggs FD 6600 DK 6400
Opponent NYJ
Proj Points FD - 11.2 DK - 13.31
John Brown FD 6100 DK 5600
Opponent NYJ
Proj Points FD - 9.63 DK - 11.53
Even with a new shiny weapon in Stefon Diggs, the Bills are barely getting any fantasy attention.......against the Jets. This immediately grabs my attention as those Jets ranked 17th in passing yards per game allowed and 23rd in fantasy points per game allowed to wideouts. Diggs was explosive downfield in Minnesota with a 14.9 aDOT(average depth of target) which was 8th-highest in the league(of WR with 50+ targets). Brown was a go-to for Josh Allen in 2019 as he commanded a 25% target share in the offense leading to his second career 1,00-yard season(first with BUF).
The matchup doesn't jump off the page but the projected low ownership and high upside certainly do making the Bills stack one of my favorite for big GPP contests in week one.
