New Orleans Pelicans guard Lonzo Ball (2) celebrates a basket against the Phoenix Suns during the first half of an NBA basketball game, Thursday, Nov. 21, 2019, in Phoenix. (AP Photo/Matt York)
This is a bizarre slate, so, we're going to take a different approach to this article. We're going to go all value plays here and leave it to you to fill in the rest. All of you know that Luka Doncic and Giannis Antetokounmpo are good plays and we feel as though you can get both of those guys in there with a combination of these players. With that in mind, let's get into these fantastic values!
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Opponent - SAC
Proj Pts FD - 32.98 DK - 34.07
While this DraftKings price is a little lofty for our hopes, this FanDuel price is an absolute steal. The thing that's really changed for Ball is his role and it's done wonders for his fantasy value. Ball is playing over 35 minutes a game across his last four outings while averaging 33 fantasy points per game over his last six fixtures. That's all you can hope for from someone in this price range and we have to love that against a Sacramento squad who allows the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing PGs this season.
Opponent - ATL
Proj Pts FD - 33.35 DK - 34.48
With Malcolm Brogdon out for the next two games, Holiday should continue to start at point guard for the Pacers. Since taking over that role seven games ago, Holiday is averaging 28 FanDuel points per game across 30 minutes of action. That makes these price tags truly shocking, as he should be above $6,000 on both sites with that sort of production in his back pocket. If you're concerned about his last game, don't be. He basically lost minutes to foul trouble in the first and third quarters and wasn't able to make up for the lost time. What we really love is this matchup though, with Atlanta sitting 28th in defensive efficiency and 29th in points allowed. Not to mention, they allow the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing point guards this season.
Luka Doncic should flirt with yet another triple-double against a bad Hornets team and is always a top choice.
Opponent - CHI
Proj Pts FD - 31.25 DK - 31.55
Smart got a start for Kemba Walker on Friday and he would be one of the best plays of the day if Walker sits out again. In that game, Smart collected 15 points, six rebounds, nine assists, three steals and two blocks. That's about 50 FanDuel points and a DFS gem. The simple fact is, Smart will play 30-35 minutes and handle the ball a ton as long as Walker is out. If Kemba's out again, he's essentially an automatic play. While Chicago's defense is better than most would expect, it's certainly not a matchup we're worried about.
Opponent - GS
Proj Pts FD - 25.87 DK - 25.33
The Pistons roster has been dismantled by injuries and it's forced Brown into a career year. It would be one thing to be without Blake Griffin but it's even worse when you consider that Luke Kennard and Reggie Jackson are out too. That has forced Brown into a ball-handling role, averaging 32 minutes played across his last five outings. His fantasy production has backed up the playing time, averaging 28.4 fantasy points per game across his last eight outings. We can't pass up numbers like those against a team like the Warriors, with Golden State surrendering the most fantasy points in the league to opposing shooting guards this season while ranked 23rd in defensive efficiency.
Buddy Hield gets a superb matchup against a 28th-ranked Pelicans defense.
Opponent - DET
Proj Pts FD - 30.33 DK - 30.51
Despite posting a dud in his last game, Burks is one of the best values out there. The reason for that is because this Warriors roster is a shell of itself. Not only are they missing Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson, it also appears they'll be without D'Angelo Russell, Kevon Looney and Willie Cauley-Stein here. With this current roster, Burks leads the team with a 24.3 percent usage rate which has led to him averaging 31.3 FD points per game across his last 28 outings before that stinker on Thursday. We also can't hate the fact that Detroit surrenders the fifth-most fantasy points to opposing SFs this season. I suppose it doesn't feel perfectly safe after last game, but can we really just ignore him after he was 66% owned in that one?
Opponent - ORL
Proj Pts FD - 28.9 DK - 30.11
While Donovan Mitchell is listed as the starting point guard in the absence of Mike Conley, it's really Joe Ingles. That's evident when you see that he leads the Jazz in assists since Conley went down, averaging 33 DK points across 35 minutes a game over his last 12 fixtures. That's the Ingles of old and it's truly amazing that he remains just $5,400 on FanDuel. He's actually scored at least 30 FanDuel points in 10 of those 12 outings and that alone is north of 5X value. Any player with a 5X floor is in consideration and we're not worried about an average Orlando defense who just lost their defensive small forward to injury in their most recent game.
Giannis Antetokounmpo is one of the best plays on the board against a subpar Spurs defense.
Opponent - SAC
Proj Pts FD - 36.02 DK - 37.13
This is yet another guy where we love his FanDuel price. What's up with FanDuel today? In any case, they seem to have missed the boat in terms of pricing and this Favors price tag might be their biggest omission. We're talking about a guy who's averaging 34 FanDuel points per game across 28 minutes of action over his last eight games played. That's an incredible rate and it's scary to think that he played at least 33 minutes in back-to-back games, which would equate to a 42 fantasy point average at this rate. That's ridiculous per-dollar production and we simply can't fade him against a Kings defense who allows the eighth-most fantasy points to opposing centers.
Opponent - DET
Proj Pts FD - 29.41 DK - 28.82
Here we are again, another crazy FanDuel price. With so many injuries in Golden State, Chriss has found himself as the starting center. That has led to him scoring at least 25 fantasy points in three-straight games while averaging 29 FanDuel points per game in that span. That's approaching 7X value at this dirt-cheap price tag and his big body will be needed against a guy like Andre Drummond. With all that said, he would be a tough sell if Cauley-Stein returns to the lineup.
If Kemba Walker is out again, Jayson Tatum should lead Boston in usage rate against a bad Bulls squad despite his terrible game on Friday.
Opponent - WAS
Proj Pts FD - 45.03 DK - 47.8
After a bunch of cheap guys, here's our one stud recommendation. The reason we love Jokic is because he's rolling and gets the best matchup in basketball. Let's begin with that opposition, facing a Wizards club who ranks dead-last in both points allowed and defensive efficiency. That's horrifying against a guy like this, with Jokic averaging over 45 FanDuel points per game across his last 15 fixtures. That directly correlates with him being a bigger scorer, averaging 16 shots a game in that span. If he takes 16 shots in this game, we could be looking at a 25-point triple-double.
Opponent - ATL
Proj Pts FD - 33.31 DK - 32.3
Turner is really hard to trust right now but his price has gotten to a place that's hard to avoid. We're talking about a guy who has 40-point potential on any given night, averaging over 30 DK points per game across his last nine outings. That's really all you can hope for from someone in this price range and this is the perfect situation for him to continue that success. Not only does Atlanta sit bottom-three in points allowed and defensive efficiency, they also surrender the third-most fantasy points to opposing centers this season. In three games against them last year, Turner averaged over 33 FD points per game across just 25 minutes of action. If he matches that rate in his 29.3 minutes this season, we could be looking at a 40-point gem.
If you're willing to pay up, Andre Drummond is in a great situation against a bad Warriors team.
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