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FanDuel NBA Picks and DraftKings NBA Picks - Wednesday, 11/27/19
This is going to be a bonkers slate. We're looking at a potent 14-game schedule, which is easily the largest slate of the season. That means it's going to be as important as ever to monitor lineups and injury reports, as there will surely be value that opens up in the final hour before lock. With that in mind, let's get into our plays!
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Point Guard
Damian Lillard FD - $9200 DK - $8600
Opponent - OKC
Proj Pts FD - 43.74 DK - 45.4
These price tags are truly shocking. Lillard should be a five-figure player on both sites but he remains way too cheap for some unknown reason. The production speaks for itself, with Dame averaging 49 DK points per game for the season. The usage backs that up, with Lillard leading the team with 37.4 minutes, 19.3 shots and a 27.3 percent usage rate. That's bad news for an Oklahoma City defense who allows the fifth-most fantasy points to opposing point guards this season.
Patrick Beverley FD - $5900 DK - $5000
Opponent - MEM
Proj Pts FD - 28.04 DK - 27.4
Beverley has been outperforming his price tag all season long and he should be in for a big night with Kawhi Leonard likely resting in the second half of a back-to-back set. So far this season, Pat is averaging 25 DraftKings points across 30 minutes a game. That average is really all you can ask for from a $5,000-player, especially when he's looking at a monster usage increase. The matchup is simply the icing on the cake, with the Grizzlies ranked 24th in defensive efficiency and 28th in points allowed.
If Ja Morant is out, Tyus Jones should start and be one of the chalkiest players on the slate.
Shooting Guard
Jimmy Butler FD - $9100 DK - $8000
Opponent - HOU
Proj Pts FD - 47.1 DK - 45.4
Butler has turned the Heat into one of the most dangerous teams in the NBA and he's definitely a major reason why. Not only does he have at least 33 DK points in 13 of his 14 games this season, Butler is also averaging 43,3 fantasy points per game. That sort of production is really scary against Houston, with the Rockets playing at the second-fastest pace in the NBA while sitting 23rd in points allowed. Getting to face Russell Westbrook and James Harden should guarantee him big minutes too.
Lou Williams FD - $7700 DK - $6900
Opponent - MEM
Proj Pts FD - 30.65 DK - 31.82
With Kawhi likely sitting this game out, Williams is one of the best plays on the board. With Leonard off the floor, Williams is posting a 33 percent usage rate while averaging 1.3 DK points per minute. That equates to 39 DK points in 30 minutes of action which is likely his floor if he starts as we expect. Getting to face Memphis is simply a bonus, with the Grizzlies surrendering the fifth-most fantasy points to opposing SGs.
Small Forward
Giannis Antetokounmpo FD - $12700 DK - $12400
Opponent - ATL
Proj Pts FD - 63.57 DK - 65.53
These prices are absolutely absurd but it's pretty hard to fade this guy right now. After capturing the MVP award last season, it's hard not to say that he's been better this year. In fact, Giannis is averaging 31.1 points, 13.9 rebounds, 6.4 assists, 1.6 steals and 1.3 blocks per game. That equates to a league-leading 61.7 DraftKings points per game which is truly absurd production no matter the price. What's really amazing is that he has at least 51 fantasy points in all but one game this season, giving him the highest floor of any player. Facing Atlanta isn't too shabby either, with the Hawks ranked 27th in points allowed.
Alec Burks FD - $6400 DK - $6100
Opponent - CHI
Proj Pts FD - 32.57 DK - 33.05
This is crazy to say but Burks might be the Warriors best player right now. While that does show how badly this roster has fallen apart, it also emphasizes how much Burks has improved. His recent form is really impressive, averaging 30.1 DK points over his last 11 games. We really like that he leads the team in usage and shots taken in that span, indicating that he's the focal point of this offense. We really like the matchup against Chicago too, with the Bulls allowing the third-most fantasy points to opposing small forwards.
Pascal Siakam has developed into the Raptors best player and is definitely in consideration against a crappy Knicks defense.
Power Forward
Anthony Davis FD - $11100 DK - $10000
Opponent - NO
Proj Pts FD - 56.51 DK - 55.93
Using revenge game narratives is always dangerous but this is one of the biggest revenge games of the season. Davis begged the Pelicans for a trade and it obviously didn't end well with them resting him as a healthy player in his final month on the roster. That means one of the best players in the league should be hungry against one of the worst defenses in the league. In fact, Davis is averaging over 52 DK points per game and gets to face a Pelicans defense who sits dead-last in points allowed (120.4 PPG). Look for the Brow to feast the day before Thanksgiving.
Bam Adebayo FD - $8400 DK - $7500
Opponent - HOU
Proj Pts FD - 41.16 DK - 41.81
Bam Bam has established himself as a regular in these articles and it's easy to understand why when looking at his production. So far this season, Adebayo is averaging 14.3 points, 10.3 rebounds, 4.3 assists, 1.6 steals and 1.3 blocks per game. While that may not look special, that stat-stuffing ability makes him a great fantasy option, averaging 39 DK points per game. Stuffing the stat sheet becomes particularly intriguing against a Rockets defense who allows the second-most fantasy points to opposing PFs, playing at an unruly pace.
Center
Karl-Anthony Towns FD - $10900 DK - $10300
Opponent - SA
Proj Pts FD - 57.98 DK - 60.82
Playing against San Antonio used to be a nightmare but it's become one of the best matchups in the league this season. In fact, the Spurs currently rank 26th in defensive efficiency and 25th in points allowed. That's bad news against a guy like KAT, with the T'Wolves big man averaging 52 fantasy points per game this season. That was on display when Towns collected 28 points, 11 rebounds and four assists in his last game against the Spurs despite playing just 30 minutes.
Montrezl Harrell FD - $7800 DK - $7000
Opponent - MEM
Proj Pts FD - 37.05 DK - 35.88
This is the final piece to the Clippers stack, as we really want to exploit these guys with Kawhi potentially sitting out. Harrell is yet another dude who beasts with him off the floor, posting a 29 percent usage rate with Leonard out while averaging 1.35 DK points per minute. That's over 40 fantasy points if he plays 30 minutes and that should definitely be the case with him averaging 32 minutes a game over his last 12 fixtures.
With so many injuries to Boston's frontcourt, Enes Kanter is definitely in consideration with his elite per-minute production.
