DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 6/27/19

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With two slates on this schedule, we're going to focus on the night slate. There happens to be five games in the day slate and a robust 10 games in the nightcap. There's not a whole lot of weather fortunately and that's all we can ask for as DFS players.

Pitchers

Steven Matz FD - P 6400 DK - SP 6900
Opponent - PIT (Trevor Williams) Park - NYM
FD - 28.65 DK - 14.57

While Matz has been wildly inconsistent this season, we really like him at this price tag. He's actually out best per-dollar play on the board, as we believe he should be closer to $8,000 on each site. A 4.75 ERA and 1.46 WHIP shows why this price is so low but he's much better pitcher than those numbers would indicate. Not only does he have a 4.13 ERA and 1.32 WHIP for his career, his 4.01 career xFIP also shows that he's been pretty unlucky. Getting to pitch in Citi Field is huge too, with Matz generating a 2.54 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 10.2 K/9 rate at home so far this season. Facing Pittsburgh is the icing on the cake, with the Pirates ranking 19th in runs scored and 18th in xwOBA.

Gerrit Cole FD - P 12000 DK - SP 12000
Opponent - STL (Daniel Poncedeleon) Park - STL
FD - 44.7 DK - 25.54

Cole is easily the highest-priced pitcher on the board and it's easy to understand why. The 3.03 ERA and 1.00 WHIP speaks loudly but his 205 strikeouts are downright absurd. That leads the league and he's actually on pace to set one of the best K rates in Major League history. That's obviously ginormous for DFS purposes, especially against a lineup like this. Not only does he gets to face an NL lineup without a DH, the Cardinals currently sit 20th in runs scored, 23rd in OPS and 24th in wOBA.

Catcher/First Base

Mark Canha FD - 1B 2800 DK - 1B/OF 4300
Opponent - TEX (Adrian Sampson) Park - OAK
FD - 10.97 DK - 8.31

Matt Olson FD - 1B 3700 DK - 1B 4500
Opponent - TEX (Adrian Sampson) Park - OAK
FD - 12.61 DK - 9.42

We absolutely love the Oakland A's on this slate and these two are actually a pretty good value. Let's start with the Rangers pitcher, as Adrian Sampson is definitely an arm we want to exploit. The Rangers righty is currently pitching to a 5.19 ERA and 1.48 WHIP this season and those numbers have been much worse recently. In fact, Sampson has an 11.85 ERA and 2.20 WHIP over his last five starts, which means he could be pitching for his job.

Now that we got this spectacular matchup out of the way, let's talk about these bats. Matt Olson is simply one of the best plays on the board and his .504 career SLG and .256 ISO makes him one of the best power hitters in our game. His numbers against righties are downright special too, with Olson generating a .540 SLG and .885 OPS against right-handers since 2017. Pairing Olson with Canha is a beautiful strategy too, with Canha setting career-highs across the board. In fact, Canha's .378 OBP, .530 SLG, and .908 OPS dwarfs any numbers from his career.

Second Base

Jason Kipnis FD - 2B 3100 DK - 2B 3600
Opponent - KC (Glenn Sparkman) Park - KC
FD - 11.45 DK - 8.71

It continues to blow my mind just how cheap this guy is. I mean, Kipnis has been one of the best second basemen in the league over the last month and he's being priced like a nobody. Over his last 33 games, Kipnis is hitting .309 while providing an .860 OPS in that span. That's all you can ask for from a player in this price range, as he typically bats cleanup against right-handers. We have to like this matchup against Glenn Sparkman too, with the Royals righty pitching to a 4.67 ERA and 1.38 WHIP this season.

Robinson Cano FD - 2B 2700 DK - 2B 3700
Opponent - PIT (Trevor Williams) Park - NYM
FD - 10.55 DK - 8.08

Gosh, this guy has been in our article too much but we really believe that he remains too cheap. If you have used him this week, you're definitely making money. Over the last 12 games, Cano has five homers and 10 RBI en route to a .972 OPS. That's stupendous production from a player in this price range and he has a spectacular matchup to boot. Not only does Cano have an .845 OPS against right-handers since 2017, Trevor Williams has also allowed nine homers and 25 earned runs over his last five starts en route to an 8.13 ERA and 1.81 WHIP.

Shortstop

Francisco Lindor FD - SS 4200 DK - SS 5300
Opponent - KC (Glenn Sparkman) Park - KC
FD - 15.11 DK - 11.53

After going cheap with our second basemen, let's get a couple of stud shortstops into our build. The Indians are one of the hottest teams in the league and Lindor is a huge reason why. Over his last 11 games, Lindor has a .360 AVG, .680 SLG and 1.065. Those massive numbers should allow him to succeed against a guy like Sparkman, who's ugly numbers were emphasized in the Kipnis write-up. Lindor has been much better against righties this season too, posting a .907 OPS against them.

Jorge Polanco FD - SS 3500 DK - SS 4800
Opponent - CHW (Ivan Nova) Park - CHW
FD - 12.81 DK - 9.93

We have to get some Twins in here against Ivan Nova and they'll be coming in hot for the remainder of the article. Let's start with Polanco, as he typically bats third or fourth when facing right-handers. That's really no surprise with Polanco's .394 OBP, .577 SLG and .971 OPS with the platoon advantage in his favor. The best part about this play is facing Nova and we'll go over that more in our next write-up.

Third Base

Miguel Sano FD - 3B 3700 DK - 3B 5100
Opponent - CHW (Ivan Nova) Park - CHW
FD - 12.18 DK - 9.07

We foreshadowed why we love the Twins, so let's go over why Nova is one of the worst pitchers in the league. The White Sox righty is currently pitching to a 5.49 ERA and 1.49 WHIP, which is why the Twins are projected for six runs in this spot. That's huge for a power bat like Sano, as he's got a .245 career ISO and .335 ISO so far this season. He comes into this matchup raking too, collecting four homers and nine RBI over his last seven games.

Kyle Seager FD - 3B 2800 DK - 3B 3400
Opponent - DET (Tyler Alexander) Park - SEA
FD - 9.86 DK - 7.47

This price is too cheap for a consistent hitter like Seager. The simple fact is, the rest of the league has caught up to Seager and it's put his production in the rear-view mirror. We're still talking about a productive guy though, with the slugging third baseman generating a .773 OPS since 2013. That's really all you can ask for from a player this cheap and we have to love this matchup against the unknown Tyler Alexander. Dating back to 2017, Alexander has a 4.98 ERA and 1.46 WHIP at the minor league level and has only pitched in the Majors twice. Any time you have a true non-prospect pitching you have to pay attention.

Outfield

Max Kepler FD - OF 3700 DK - OF 5100
Opponent - CHW (Ivan Nova) Park - CHW
FD - 13.1 DK - 9.93

If we like the Twins, we have to absolutely love Kepler. The leadoff hitter has quietly been one of the best hitters in the game and he's made minced meat of right-handers this season. In fact, Kepler has a .346 OBP, .554 SLG and .901 OPS with the platoon advantage in his favor. We're talking about one of the hottest hitters in the league too, with Kepler providing four homers, six runs scored and 10 RBI en route to a 1.226 OPS. Not to mention, Kepler has four home runs in his last three games against this putrid White Sox pitching staff.

David Dahl FD - OF 3000 DK - OF 4300
Opponent - CIN (Anthony DeSclafani) Park - CIN
FD - 10.5 DK - 8.04

This FanDuel price is downright insulting and we have to love some of the Rockies against Anthony DeSclafani. Let's start with this matchup, as DeSclafani is allowing opposing lefties to post a wOBA just shy of .400 against him. That's huge for a guy like Dahl, who's generating a .348 OBP, .534 SLG and .883 OPS against right-handers so far this season. Hitting outside of Coors Field is usually worrisome but Great American Ballpark is also one of the best hitting havens in the league too, so Dahl is still totally playable here.

Khris Davis FD - OF 3000 DK - OF 3400
Opponent - TEX (Adrian Sampson) Park - OAK
FD - 12.65 DK - 9.42

Alright, bear with me here. Davis has been downright terrible the last two months but he's got too much potential to be priced this cheap. The matchup against Adrian Sampson is one of the major reasons why, as his ugly numbers were hard to overlook from our first base write-ups. Let's go a bit more in-depth on why we like Davis, as he still leads the league in home runs dating back to 2015. He actually has at least 40 homers in four-straight seasons and that sort of consistency means he will eventually find it. The simple fact is, Davis has an ISO above .260 in that stretch and that's simply an unmatched number from a guy in this price range.

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