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We've had a pretty light weather week all things considered but we do have some concerns here. There are a few games we do need to focus in on, with Pittsburgh, Texas, Chicago, New York and Baltimore all having rain in the forecast. That's scary for DFS owners but luckily, all of the games start within three hours of one another.
Opponent - PHI (Nick Pivetta) Park - LAD
FD - 33.07 DK - 18.08
This price really shocks me and it's hard to understand why these DFS sites continue to undervalue Hill. We're talking about one of the best arms in the Majors, with Hill pitching to a 2.96 ERA and 1.05 WHIP since 2015. That's nearly identical to his numbers for this year and it's hard to argue with his 30 percent K rate in that span. That obviously puts him in play and it's hard to understand why he remains a four-figure player. Vegas appears to love Hill too, as they have him as a -190 favorite with Philly projected for only four runs.
Opponent - CLE (Zach Plesac) Park - CHW
FD - 34.32 DK - 17.32
Giolito was a gas can last season but he's truly developed into one of the best pitchers in the league this season. What's really impressive is his recent form, with Giolito posting a 1.24 ERA and 0.69 WHIP over his last five starts while striking out 39 batters across 36.1 innings. That shows us that he's truly taken the next step in his game and we love him against the Indians. So far this season, Cleveland ranks 25th in scoring and 26th in both OPS and wOBA. Post hype prospects for the win, it seems.
Gerrit Cole has one of the best K rates in Major League history and is worth considering, despite the high price tag and tough matchup against the A's.
Opponent - TOR (Aaron Sanchez) Park - COL
FD - 14.81 DK - 11.37
The Rockies are at home and that means we're getting at least a few of these guys into our article. We really like Murphy with the platoon advantage in his favor, with the lefty posting an OPS north of .900 against righties dating back to 2016. While he did get off to a slow start this season, recent results would indicate that he's starting to hit his stride. In fact, Murphy is hitting .359 over his last 11 games while providing three doubles, five walks and 11 RBI.
Opponent - CHC (Cole Hamels) Park - STL
FD - 14.16 DK - 10.66
Goldschmidt just hit a homer on Saturday and we always love it when he faces a lefty. For his career, Goldy is posting a 1.013 OPS against southpaws and a .584 SLG. Those show why he's a perennial MVP candidate and it's hard to argue with his recent form. Not only does Goldy have a hit in nine of his last 10 games, he's also providing two homers and an average above .400 in that span. Cole Hamels is a guy we want to stack against too, as he's allowed 22 baserunners and nine earned runs over his last two starts.
If you're in need of a catcher, Buster Posey is super cheap and gets a spectacular matchup against the Baltimore Orioles after homering on Saturday.
Opponent - TEX (Adrian Sampson) Park - TEX
FD - 10.31 DK - 7.89
Lopez has actually been batting leadoff over the last week or so and that alone makes him a great value in this price range. The minor league profile is what's really impressive, with Lopez posting a wOBA near .400 in his minor league career. That's why the Royals have called him up and put him at leadoff and he should be a steady producer atop this lineup. The reason we like him here is because of this matchup, as Lopez gets to face a pitcher with a 4.53 ERA and 1.49 WHIP. That paired with the fact that he gets to hit in Globe Life Park makes Lopez a great bargain in the $3,000-range.
Opponent - COL (Antonio Senzatela) Park - COL
FD - 11.92 DK - 9.13
While this DraftKings price is a little ridiculous, Sogard has earned every bit of it. In fact, Sogard is posting a .351 OBP and .797 OPS so far this season. That shows just how dangerous of a bat he's been, as he has an OPS north of .800 against right-handed pitching. Hitting in Coors Field is obviously huge too, with that ballpark ranking as the best hitting park in the majors. Antonio Senzatela is a nice matchup for any hitter, with the righty posting a 5.81 ERA and 1.65 WHIP.
We like Braves on this slate and Ozzie Albies has traditionally been better against left-handed pitching.
Opponent - TOR (Aaron Sanchez) Park - COL
FD - 16.97 DK - 12.88
This might be the hottest hitter in the league right now and it's simply impossible to fade his absurd production in Coors Field. Over his last three games, Story has three doubles and two homers while providing seven runs scored and seven RBI en route to a .714 average. That's obviously bonkers but his streak extends longer than that. In fact, Story has a 1.342 OPS over his last 13 games and he's been doing most of that damage at home. Since his call-up, Story is posting a .966 OPS at home and he's simply worth using at almost any price.
Opponent - PHI (Nick Pivetta) Park - LAD
FD - 11.66 DK - 8.89
Seager has been in these articles all season long and the jump in price obviously shows that we're doing something right. We were banking on Seager returning to his 2017 form and recent results would indicate that he's doing just that. Since May 5, Seager is providing a .941 OPS and is one of the leaders in fantasy points per game at shortstop. The power stroke is what's really coming round though, with Seager collecting three homers, three doubles and nine RBI over his last seven games. We always want to use Seager against righties too and Nick Pivetta's 7.71 ERA and 1.89 WHIP makes him a guy we definitely want to target.
Amed Rosario pops up highly in our projection system atop the Mets order.
Opponent - COL (Antonio Senzatela) Park - COL
FD - 13.99 DK - 10.72
Guerrero hit a majestic homer at Coors Field on Friday and it's really no surprise that someone with this hitting profile would succeed in the best hitting park in baseball. We're talking about the greatest prospect since Bryce Harper, as he had some historic numbers at the minor league level. While he got off to a terrible start in the Majors, his May form is definitely a sign of things to come. In fact, Guerrero is hitting .290 over his last 16 games while generating three doubles, six homers and 11 RBI. All that makes him very attractive against a gas can like Senzatela, whose numbers were emphasized in the Sogard write-up.
Opponent - DET (Matthew Boyd) Park - ATL
FD - 12.47 DK - 9.32
Donaldson has been downright terrible recently but it's lowered his price tag to this tempting number. This is a guy who was a perennial all-star before getting injured last season and he showed glimpses of that early on this year. What we like here is that he gets the platoon advantage against a lefty. For his career, Donaldson is posting a .957 OPS against southpaws. That obviously puts him in play anytime he opposes a lefty, especially in this price range.
Opponent - TOR (Aaron Sanchez) Park - COL
FD - 14.57 DK - 11.37
Opponent - TOR (Aaron Sanchez) Park - COL
FD - 15.9 DK - 12.17
Let's continue our Rockies stack with a couple of lefty outfielders. What we like about these two is that they've found themselves in the heart of the Rockies order. With Charlie Blackmon on the shelf, Tapia has been batting leadoff while Dahl has been moved to third. That obviously makes them great options, with Colorado as the highest projected team total on the slate. We love that both of these guys get the platoon advantage too, as they've both been better against right-handed pitching.
All of these circumstances don't even consider the fact that both of these guys are hot. In fact, Tapia enters this matchup in the midst of a 10-game hitting streak while providing four doubles and 11 runs scored in that span. Dahl has been just as hot, hitting .405 over his last nine games while accruing two doubles, two homers and 10 runs scored. Don't worry about Aaron Sanchez either, with the righty posting a 1.52 WHIP so far this season.
Opponent - PHI (Nick Pivetta) Park - LAD
FD - 13.6 DK - 10.18
If you haven't been using Pederson against righties this season, you probably haven't been profiting. Anytime the Dodgers face a righty, Pederson enters into the leadoff spot and automatically becomes one of the best bets on the board to homer. In fact, Pederson has all 17 of his dangers against right-handed pitching this season en route to an absurd 1.127 OPS. He also has a .400 OBP against righties and we absolutely love him against a guy like Pivetta, who's posting a nightmarish .430 xwOBA to match his ugly numbers from the Seager write-up.
Opponent - DET (Matthew Boyd) Park - ATL
FD - 13.51 DK - 10.35
For our final write-up of the day, we're going to ride Acuna against a lefty. Since his call-up last season, Acuna is posting an OPS north of 1.000 against southpaws. That's really no surprise when you look at his minor league numbers, as Acuna has made minced meat of lefties throughout his career. He comes into this matchup scorching too, providing five homers, three doubles, 16 runs scored, 14 RBI and five steals over his last 21 games.
J.D. Davis has been an underrated bat this season and gets a solid matchup against Merrill Kelly.
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