Online NBA Betting Picks for Wednesday 12/26/18

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Suns (5) vs. Magic (-5)

DFSR Projected Score:Suns: 112.48 - Magic: 112.81
Vegas Projected Score: Suns: 102.75 - Magic: 107.75
DFSR Projected Total: 225.29
Vegas Over/Under: 210.5
DFSR Suggested Bet(s)
Suns Over 102.75
Suns +5
Suns +170
Magic/ Suns Over 210.5

Since Devin Booker came back from injury, the Suns have scored more than 102 points in every game with the only *close* one being the second half of the back-to-back following the triple-OT game against the Wizards (and they put up 103). The key to the Suns covering these totals is that Booker and Warren are playing major minutes each, allowing for multiple scorers on the floor at almost all times for Phoenix. The numbers are thrown off a little in the short term because of those two crazy games against Washington and Brooklyn but the fact remains that these two offer plenty of ways for a flawed Phoenix team to pile on points.

Meanwhile, though Orlando plays a slow pace (99.9, fourth slowest in the league) they are a middle of the pack defensive team. The pace of play on the Orlando side is what’s driving down the totals here. But what also could be affecting things is a short-term Magic run of games in which they’ve played a run of games against similarly slow teams. In fact, over their last nine games, Orlando has played only one team ranked in the top half of the league in pace. It’s been a slow, plodding run of late.

It’s also worth noting here, that Trevor Ariza had basically the team’s worst net rating (-13.4) and thing improve rather dramatically with him off the court for the Suns this season. With him gone to Washington, freeing up minutes for Mikal Bridges (+8 net rating), Josh Jackson (1.4) and really anyone else, the team is much better on offense.

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