Online NBA Betting Picks for Wednesday 12/19/18

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Suns (11.5) vs. Celtics (-11.5)

DFSR Projected Score:Suns: 114.55 - Celtics: 117.19
Vegas Projected Score: Suns: 106.25 - Celtics: 117.75
DFSR Projected Total: 231.74
Vegas Over/Under: 224
DFSR Suggested Bet(s)
Suns +11.5
The Suns have a -9.5 point differential per game on the season, but it’s worth noting that number dips to -7.5 in games Devin Booker has started and played regular rotations. He makes a significant difference (of course) having him around and the scoring is so electric that when he’s shooting well the Suns can actually hang with better teams. They are on a three-game winning streak (the last two with Booker, wins over the Timberwolves and Knicks) and now travel to Boston for a matchup with the Celtics.

Boston has looked better of late, winning eight in a row before dropping their last game to the Pistons. But that run was an easy one with games against the Hawks, Knicks, Bulls, Cavs, Wizards and two against the Pelicans.

Having both Booker and Warren on the court together plus bringing in Mikal Bridges to replace Trevor Ariza makes a big difference. Ariza had the very worst net rating on the Suns among anyone who’d played more than 500 minutes (an astoundingly bad -13.4) while Bridges is actually positive on the season (8.1). Winning these starting lineup changes around the margins can be difference makers.

Pistons (5) vs. Timberwolves (-5)

DFSR Projected Score:Pistons: 103.28 - Timberwolves: 117.5
Vegas Projected Score: Pistons: 106 - Timberwolves: 111
DFSR Projected Total: 220.78
Vegas Over/Under: 217
DFSR Suggested Bet(s)
Timberwolves -5
Timberwolves ML -200
Derrick Rose has been a revelation this season and as it stands ranks as one of the Timberwolves best players in terms of Net rating (+5.3). It would appear, the more minutes with him on the court, the better for Minnesota.

No Jeff Teague also increases the usage on scorers like Karl-Anthony Towns and Andrew Wiggins. The Pistons are particularly weak defending the wings and could run into problems with the T-wolves in this respect.

Also, Minnesota has had success defending opposing centers which neutralizes one of the only two high-level talents Detroit has on their roster.

This could potentially be an easier win for the T-Wolves against a Pistons' team that's lost eight of its last nine and has few ways to improve their rotation at this point.

Other DFSR Suggested Bet(s)
Bucks -9 over the Pelicans
Hornets -12.5 over the Cavaliers

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