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Dunn was out with the birth of his child, so don't worry about his health here. Cameron Payne and Ryan Arcidiacono will both take a seat and Dunn should grab his deserved 30-35 minutes. The Mavs play pretty fast and Dennis Smith Jr. is not a defender to be scared of. There's always a chance Dunn gets held back in his first game, but I lean on the side of him being unleashed with fresh legs.
After punching Chris Paul in the face and superman punching through a crowd (not saying I hate either), these two will take a seat for a few games. Both touch the ball a ton on this offense and there will be opportunity up for grabs. I'm sure LeBron will see an extra 3-5% in usage, but this new doesn't change much for him. The safest bump of all is Kyle Kuzma, who will start and is a near guarantee to get over 30 minutes. The Lakers could also play small with LeBron at the 4, which would give the likes of Ball, Hart, KCP, and Stephenson some extended run. Against a slow-paced Spurs squad, I don't think you can just stack the Lakers here. A 221 O/U isn't low by any means, but the Spurs are one of the slower teams the Lakers will see in the West and it's still somehow the 4th lowest total on the entire slate. I think the range of Kuzma gives the Spurs some issues and he's my favorite Laker of all. I also think Lonzo Ball has a ton of upside if they just give him all of the Rondo minutes and let him play a ton for a few games. KCP and Hart both have a ton of upside, but I think you can do better in other games.
Tough break for a guy who seems to always be injured. He had surgery and is expected to be back in 2 months. With Marc Gasol probable, it'll be the Gasol and Jackson Jr. show down low. Jackson Jr. is an absolute monster and while the Jazz aren't an easy match-up, I think he matches up well and should be rather low owned. Casspi and Parsons will also grab a few extra minutes, but neither move the needle in the slightest. This game may have a solid 2 or 3 pieces, but you want to ignore it for the most place.
Knox only played 4 minutes against Boston, so we have a good idea of what to expect minutes-wise. Noah Vonleh finally got over 20 minutes and always has a lot of upside. Enes Kanter has also been over 30 minutes in each of his last two games and I don't think Milwaukee has a big to stop him.
You can look at a lot of guys to pick up an extra 3 or 4 minutes, but the only guy who will see an increased role is Daniel Theis. He was great for Boston when given the opportunity, but I don't see them giving him more than 15 or 16 minutes in this offense. He has upside, but I'll wait and find my value elsewhere. Baynes doesn't have a big enough role to make all that much of a difference. Especially with a team that is careful with minutes.
Anderson is a key piece of the Jazz this year and he's played 20 minutes in each of the first two games. If he's out tonight, Casspi and Brooks will both see an extra 8-10 minutes and are decent plays. I just don't have much interest in this game and Anderson doesn't garner enough minutes to make all that much of a difference.
Opponent - GS
Proj Pts FD - 28.36 DK - 29.1
Canaan is the far and away top dog in terms of point per dollar in the projection system. He's cheap on both sites and is getting 28-34 minutes on a nightly basis. He now gets a match-up with Golden State, who loves to run and is worn down after a brutal contest with the Nuggets. Canaan isn't a great offensive player and will stand in the corner a lot, but Booker will let him have his shine on occasion and he'll put up a solid 20-30 fantasy points. Caanan is a way to get easy value while getting exposure to one of the best games on the night.
Opponent - CHA
Proj Pts FD - 52.91 DK - 51.1
You can play LeBron or Giannis, but they're far more expensive and not in the best possible spots. You can get Kawhi Leonard for cheap on both sites and be confident with a floor of 40. This game is sitting at a 226 O/U, so don't think of the Hornets as a pace-down match-up. The Hornets don't have anyone too big of a deal for Kawhi to guard, so all of his effort will be spent on the offensive side of things. Leonard is too cheap at this point and a guy I'll have across the board in cash games.
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