Daily Fantasy Football Top Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings Week 7 - 10/21/18

Welcome back football fans. We are now deep into the bye weeks as four teams(GB, OAK, PIT, SEA) will get the week off and combine that with an early game in London plus the regular Primetime games and we have just 10 games on the main slate. Then you start looking at the limited options, especially at the running back and tight end position, and realize we are going to need some value stacks to fit the puzzle together this week. Let's take a  look at a couple that stand out using the DFSR Player Lab.

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Baltimore Ravens

Quarterback - Joe Flacco
Primary Target - Michael Crabtree
Secondary Target - John Brown

Like always, I started with the "High Vegas Total" and "Thin Spread" filters which narrowed the options down to one game. In no way do I think Joe Flacco is the better quarterback of the two but I will side with him and the Ravens this week for a couple of reasons. It starts with the PTS/$ value as Flacco comes cheaper on both sites on a week where the options are limited and the price of Todd Gurley is through the roof but is our top projected play from a raw points perspective and a near must play in all formats.

Despite the Saints holding Alex Smith to 275 and no touchdowns and Eli Manning to 255 yards and one touchdown over the past two weeks, they have still given up the third most passing yards per game(297.6) on the season and the third-most fantasy points against quarterbacks. While Flacco doesn't have the same upside as Brees, Cousins, Winston and others on this slate, he has still been pretty good averaging 298 yards per game and three times hs thrown for multiple touchdowns. The wide receivers also provide some salary relief in this matchup as both are under $6K on DraftKings and in the mid $6K range on FanDuel. Crabtree has out-targeted Brown 55-47 on the season but neither has been extremely reliable with a 45% and 55% catch rate but in this matchup, I think both have a shot to hit and exceed value on both sites and should also be low-owned.

Cleveland Browns

Quarterback - Baker Mayfield
Primary Target - Jarvis Landry
Secondary Targets - David Njoku

What I did next was use the same "High Vegas O/U", open up the parameter to 3.5 points on the "Thin Spread" filter, and then add in "Poor Defense vs. the Pass". This narrowed the search down to just two options in the Browns/Bucs game. I will definitely have exposure to both but I am currently leaning on Baker and Browns for a couple reasons starting with the price as he is $500 cheaper than Winston on DraftKings and $700 cheaper on FanDuel which will help us fit the Gurley, Elliott, Thielen, or whichever high-priced stud you are targeting this week. The other thing that stands out when looking at the Player Lab is the passing attempts as our system currently has Baker at 46 which is not really crazy at all considering he has attempted 40 or passes in each of the last three weeks. He hasn't particularly been the most efficient with those passes(52% completed) but I have a feeling we have yet to see his ceiling and if there was ever a week to get a glimpse into that it is Week 7.

The Bucs are not only giving up a league-high 355 yards per game through the air but they have also given up the most fantasy points per game to quarterbacks and tight ends and the second-most to wide receivers. His #1 target is going to be Jarvis Landry who has tallied double-digit targets in five of his six games with two 100-yard days. The touchdowns haven't yet been there but that could change this week. With that many pass attempts projected for Baker I think it makes sense to double stack two receiving options this week and David Njoku stands out at a depleted position and it is also positive he has got double-digit targets in two straight games and seven or more in all but one game this season. Don't forget when stacking a team it makes sense to run that stack back with a player from the other team assuming the game is going to be high scoring. For the Bucs, that means getting some Mike Evans(will be low owned) or DeSean Jackson in your Cleveland stacks.