Daily Fantasy College Football Picks and Betting Spotlight (Premium) for DraftKings - Week 4

Week 3 is in the books so let’s go through a quick recap to see what we can glean from the results. Florida State really is that bad after nearly getting shut out at Syracuse and the days of Bowden are a distant memory. Ohio State avoided a scare at TCU, Hawaii can be slowed down, and Alabama looks as dominant as ever. This Saturday is sure to be just as action packed with a stacked schedule of great matchups. Last week, Texas Tech won a track meet with 112 total points scored and now travel to Oklahoma State. We also have a double upset special with Nebraska taking on Michigan and Wisconsin trying to avoid a two-game losing skid at Iowa. So let’s get after it

Quarterback

Anthony Brown -Boston College
DK 9200
Opponent Purdue
Boston College is largely known for playing good defense and running the ball. Well, times are starting to change in good ole Chestnut Hill, MA. I wouldn’t say Brown is currently on the short list of many NFL scouts, but at this level, playing teams not named Alabama, he’s pretty good. Last week on national television Brown lit up Wake Forest’s secondary to the tune of 304 yards and five touchdowns. On the season Brown has passed for 626 yards and nine touchdowns to zero interceptions. Now he faces a Purdue team that hasn’t been able to stop anyone all season. Purdue will have to pay special attention to AJ Dillon so Brown should get plenty of one on one coverage schemes. He’s not my favorite play on the board, but I really like the concept of pairing him with AJ DIllon in what should be a high scoring affair.

Will Grier -West Virginia
DK 10500
Opponent West Virginia
Grier is pricey, but it’s doable depending on how you structure lineup at the other positions. Even at this price, it’s hard to argue the floor that comes with the hefty salary. Grier is essentially a lock for 300 yards passing and multiple touchdowns. I highlighted Grier in Week 1, largely due to the certainty he offers and he delivered with 429 yards and five touchdowns against what seems to be a fairly solid Tennessee defense. Last week in a rout against Youngstown State he still went for 332 and four touchdowns. West Virginia seems fairly committed to utilizing the strength of their passing attack regardless of game flow. In other words, they like to air it out even when winning by a large margin. Kansas State is far from its glory days when Darren Sproles ran wild and their defense was suffocating so Grier and this high flying offense will have no trouble putting points on the board.

Running Back

AJ Dillon -Boston College
DK 9000
Opponent Purdue
This dude is straight Beast Mode for 60 minutes of football. Listed at 6’0’’ tall and 245 pounds, Dillon truly is a beast. He has the size and power to run between the tackles and with a very respectable 4.54 40 yard dash has enough speed to break long runs. Boston College loves to give him the ball early and often. Despite 14 different players registering a carry on the season, Dillon has 59 carries compared to Travis Levy with 18. Purdue has been getting rolled on the ground and especially to bell cow backs. Both James Larkin (Northwestern) and Larry Roundtree (Missouri) each ran for over 140 yards on 20+ carries against Purdue. Last week Dillon received 33 carries against Wake Forest and finished with 185 yards and one score. The Eagles are currently 7.5 point favorites with a total of 65. The projected game script favors AJ receiving his usual heavy workload with plenty of scoring potential upside. His salary limits his GPP upside, but he has one of the highest points per dollar floors on the slate.

Pooka Williams Jr. -Kansas
DK 5700
Opponent Baylor
This freshman is off the hook it’s just a shame it took a loss to Nichols State in the season opener before the Jayhawks unleashed their new shiny toy. After not seeing the field week one, Williams now leads the team with 32 carries for 283 yards and three touchdowns. Small in stature at just 5’10” 170 pounds, what he lacks in size he makes up for with punch. In just two games Pooka has touchdown runs of 20, 41, and 52 yards. Baylor is not once the offensive juggernaut it once was and their defense leaves much to be desired. As 7.5 point dogs and a total of just 56 it’s not the most ideal scenario, but I love his price and Kansas is still projected for enough scoring for him to hit value.

Wide Receiver

Emanuel Hall -Missouri
DK 6000
Opponent Georgia
This one may feel a little gross at first glance considering Georgia sports one of the nation’s top defenses, specifically against the run. Drew Lock is a top-rated passer and Hall is a top-rated receiver, which is generally a recipe for success. Vegas has Mizzu as 14.5 underdogs with a total near 64. I see this as a scenario where we have an elite passing offense in Missouri, who is expected to be playing from behind, against a team that is particularly hard to run against. Hall is not the only capable receiver for Missouri and they have an excellent tight end in Albert Okwuegbunam so Georgia’s secondary will have their hands full. I suspect enough people will be scared away by the matchup that he may offer a little separation from the field. Last week Hall was priced at $8200 so a matchup with Georgia offers a $2000 discount. I am a little fuzzy on the scoring potential, but Lock should attempt north of 50 passes with Hall the target on many. I expect Georgia to win and maybe win comfortably, but there should be plenty of volume for Hall to hit value. It doesn’t hurt the game is being played in Missouri.

Rondale Moore -Purdue
DK 6900
Opponent Boston College
Moore has been fantastic to open the 2018 season. In games not played in a monsoon this year, Moore is averaging 11/123/1. These games were against respectable competition in Northwestern and Missouri and neither had an answer for Mr. Rondale Moore. We can ignore the clunker against Eastern Michigan as the weather wasn’t exactly conducive to an effective passing game. Boston College has been better against the pass than the run, but they haven’t faced a playmaker like Moore and are still allowing plenty of offense overall. Moore also has 128 yards rushing on four carries, including a 79-yard scamper for a score against Northwestern. Boston College is a modest 7.5 point favorite with a total at 65 so there should be plenty of passing and points to go around. If Blough gets the nod at quarterback for the Boilermakers I like Moore even more. See what I did there?

Punt Play Special - Alex Bachman Wake Forest $3600 - if he’s healthy he’s arguably the best value on the slate. Currently listed as a starter on Wake’s two-deep, but it’s hard to fully trust a depth chart so keep your ear to the ground.

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