Welcome back football fans. With week one in the books, we now have current film and stats to look at and analyze which makes me even more excited for week two. If you haven't already, be sure to go over and check out the Main Article that was posted a couple days ago looking at some of the top cash game plays for this week. In this article, I will be looking at two of my top stacks for GPP formats. Then closer to the weekend be sure to check out Doug's GPP article and my GPP Pivot article concentrating on pivot plays based on ownership projections. Let's get started.
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Quarterback - Ben Roethlisberger
Primary Target - Antonio Brown
Secondary Target - JuJu Smith-Schuster
The first place I will be going this week is with the Steelers and Big Ben who is in line for a bounce-back performance after throwing three interceptions and losing two fumbles in a tie against the Browns. The weather was awful and while I am not trying to make excuses for a perceived elite offense, Big Ben did still throw for 335 yards. Looking at the Player Lab, I looked at teams in games with high totals(49+) who also have plus matchups against defenses that rank 25th or worse against the position. This spit out just two options this week and while I like both, I don't think the Saints will fall behind again and shouldn't have to throw as much. For the Steelers, they get a matchup against an electrifying offensive team in Kansas City but the issue with the Chiefs is the defense and this should lead to a very high scoring game on Sunday. They only produced one sack last week vs. the Chargers and allowed Rivers to throw for 424 yards and three touchdowns. While James Conner will be a popular running back choice this week as he got 100% touch share in week one, the Chiefs held Melvin Gordon to 64 yards on the ground but he did grab nine balls for 102 additional yards. I will have some exposure to Conner who did catch five of his six targets for 57 yards but my main target is obviously Antonio Brown who got a whopping 16 targets in week one, catching nine of them for 93 yards and a touchdown. Even in a low scoring game, Big Ben was also able to target JuJu Smith-Schuster eight times and he caught five of them for 119 yards. The game script in this matchup could lead to Roethlisberger throwing 45+ times meaning both wideouts could once again hit value meaning you could stack them together but for the most part I will be pairing Big Ben with one of them and creating a ton of different iterations of my Steelers stacks.
Quarterback - Nick Foles
Primary Target - Zach Ertz
Secondary Targets - Nelson Agholor
For my second look at the Player Lab, I looked at teams in games with thin spreads and against defenses who rank poorly against the quarterback and passing game overall. I will have exposure to both but with Doug mentioning Watson and Hopkins in his GPP article, I will turn to the defending Super Bowl Champions. I will start by stating "safety" is not a word I will use here as Foles is coming off a pretty terrible performance in week one where he completed just 19 of 34 passes(56%) for 117 yards and no touchdowns. The matchup wasn't the greatest, however, as the Falcons gave up just 214 pass yards per game last season. This week is a different story as the Eagles will face a Bucs defense that gave up a league-high 432 yards through the air in week one and not one of their cornerbacks rated out inside the Top 50 when looking at PFF ranks. Even worse news for their secondary, good news for the Eagles, is that the Bucs top corner, Brent Grimes is dealing with a groin injury and unlikely to play on Sunday. I expect Foles to be low owned this week and in a much better matchup, he should be able to bounce back and hit value utilizing Nelson Agholor and Zach Ertz who combined for 20 targets in week one.
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