Arizona Diamondbacks starting pitcher Patrick Corbin throws against the San Diego Padres during the first inning of a baseball game Sunday, April 22, 2018, in Phoenix. (AP Photo/Ross D. Franklin)
We already highlighted Max Scherzer and Corey Kluber in our 6/5/18 picks article. We also highlighted the Boston Red Sox and St. Louis Cardinals as a popular game stacks at their respective team price points. Here we will look at some other (possible GPP) considerations.
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Opponent - SF (Madison Bumgarner) Park - SF
FD - 34.77 DK - 17.97
There are a few different ways you can go tonight in GPP's when looking at the pitchers on this slate. You can roll the dice with Carlos Martinez who is making his return from the disabled list and while he has been near elite this season, he only threw 63 pitches in his most recent rehab start. You could also take a shot with Madison Bumgarner who is making his season debut after breaking his hand in a Spring Training game in March. I prefer to go with a little more safety on the other side of the ball rostering Patrick Corbin. It is not without risk, however, as the Diamondbacks are the slight dogs(+115) but Corbin has been having a tremendous season and despite coming off his worst start(8 hits, 6 ER to CIN) sits with a 2.99 ERA and even better 2.64 xFIP on the season and has also shown us big-time upside with an 11.71 K/9 and 14.2% swinging strike rate. The Giants are slightly above average against left-handed pitching(12thi in wOBA, 10th in wRC+) but do strike our 23.8% of the time in this split. It's only the second time in nine starts where Corbin's price has been below $10K on DraftKings so let's take advantage in GPP formats.
Opponent - PIT (Joe Musgrove) Park - PIT
FD - 29.85 DK - 15.24
Next up we have Ross Stripling who started his season out of the bullpen and was placed into the rotation with all the injuries this season(Kershaw, Hill, Maeda, Ryu). He hasn't been just a place filler but rather a key contributor to the Dodgers sixth-best ERA in the majors(starters) and helped keep them alive in the division(2 games back of the Diamondbacks). Over his last four starts, he has been brilliant allowing just four earned runs(1.44 ERA, 1.40 xFIP) while averaging 6.25 innings per start and has flashed big upside with a 12.60 K/9 and 11.3% swinging strike rate. Tonight, he faces a Pirates team that has been much less effective against right-handed pitching with a .314 wOBA and 99 wRC+ on the season and have struggled overall lately ranking near the bottom of the league in those categories(.291 wOBA, 83 wRC+) over the last 14 days. The only downside to this matchup is the fact the Pirates don't strike out a whole lot(19.6%) but I am willing to take the risk in this spot tonight.
Oakland Athletics vs. Matt Moore(TEX)
Opponent - TEX (Matt Moore) Park - TEX
FD - 13.21 DK - 9.86
Opponent - TEX (Matt Moore) Park - TEX
FD - 11.01 DK - 8.43
Opponent - TEX (Matt Moore) Park - TEX
FD - 9.32 DK - 7.16
Opponent - TEX (Matt Moore) Park - TEX
FD - 9.93 DK - 7.56
I talked about the A's a little in the main article but will reiterate the point as they are in a great spot tonight against Matt Moore in a terrific hitters park in Texas. Moore has got off to a terrible start with the Rangers this season and it has only gotten worse lately as he has given up 26 earned runs over his last five starts(21.2 IP) for an ugly 10.80 ERA and 5.36 xFIP. He has gotten himself into a ton of trouble with walks and in that timeframe is walking right around five batters per nine innings and while he hasn't given up a ton of home runs on the season(8.8% HR/FB rate) they will likely be coming as he is giving up a whopping 44.6% hard contact rate in those last five starts.
Like I mentioned in the main article, the A's as a team sit in the bottom half of the league against left-handed pitching but do have some options to target here. I talked about Lowrie and his team-leading .296 average and 42 RBI on the season and his effectiveness against lefties(.360 wOBA, 130 wRC+). While Khris Davis has struggled against lefties this season, I don't think we can avoid his power upside if we are doing a team stack tonight as he is the teams cleanup hitter. Two cheaper bats I like a lot tonight are Canha and Pinder. They lead the team in hitting against southpaws as Canha sits with a .415 wOBA and 167 wRC+ and Pinder sits with a .392 wOBA and 152 wRC+ on the season.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Kyle Freeland(COL)
Opponent - COL (Kyle Freeland) Park - CIN
FD - 9.64 DK - 7.4
Opponent - COL (Kyle Freeland) Park - CIN
FD - 12.14 DK - 9.17
Opponent - COL (Kyle Freeland) Park - CIN
FD - 7.82 DK - 6.03
Opponent - COL (Kyle Freeland) Park - CIN
FD - 11.25 DK - 8.48
From one hitter's park to another as the Reds will be at home in the Great American Ballpark tonight with the Rockies coming to town. The matchup isn't as intriguing as Kyle Freeland hasn't been terrible this season with a 3.43 ERA, 4.10 xFIP and has only given up more than three earned runs in a start just twice but he has, surprisingly, been worse on the road(4.17 ERA vs. 2.19 at home). The Reds have also been terrific against left-handed pitchers and the four names above lead the way.
On the expensive side of things, Eugenio Suarez has been the best of the bunch with a .531 wOBA, 244 wRC+, and whopping .385 ISO against southpaws. Scotter Gennett has also been very consistent with a .442 wOBA and 184h a top pitcher. We can also look at the catcher position tonight as a source of salary relief as Tucker Barnhart has been terrific in this split with a .452 wOBA and 190 wRC+ against left-handed pitching. With all the other terrific options to stack tonight in better matchups, the Reds make an excellent option that could be lower owned on this particular slate.
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