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We have a pretty good idea of what to do here. Shabazz Napier only picked up 27 minutes with Lillard out last time, but the game was a blowout and Napier wasn’t needed. You can project him for 30 minutes if the game stays close. C.J. McCollum will also take an extra 5-10 shots and could play some point guard, leading to Connaughton grabbing 20-25 minutes. All in all, Napier and McCollum are the targets.
The Nets have a ton of bodies to run and expect them all to see an extra three or four minutes. That includes Caris LeVert, Joe Harris, and Rondae Hollis-Jefferson. RHJ and LeVert are playable against a weak Bucks defense, but neither will see crazy minutes or usage.
Opponent - HOU
Proj Pts FD - 15.85 DK - 15.88
There isn’t all that much news today. With Lillard out, Napier will have a hard time missing value at near-minimum. He’s safe in all formats and close to a must in my opinion. He will see 27 minutes as a worst-case scenario. He still hits value in that case and you’re perfectly fine. His ceiling is 40+ and he projects around 30. In those cases, it’s a huge uphill battle if you fade. Chris Paul isn’t the best match-up in the world, but I expect him to move over and cover McCollum, who’ll have the ball in his hands just as much.
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