Hello hockey fans and welcome to another day of exciting NHL action here at DFSR. Today, we have a monster 12 game slate on tap for us with some of the league's top offenses to go along with some of the worst defenses, so let's not waste any more time and get started with some picks, shall we?
Hockey is back and with it come our NHL projections which help inform these picks every night. When you purchase a DFSR NHL subscription to our base hockey projections you also get access to our brand new NFL DFS suite of tools including full projections, optimal NFL lineups and our Player Lab, which includes filters to help you create NFL lineups for FanDuel and DraftKings for any format. It’s a set of tools well beyond anything we’ve ever had, and something we feel will help our users *ahem* tackle the NFL season.
If you want to see the numbers behind our projections, create lineups with a single click, or research as deeply as your heart desires, click the button below to test out yourself.
Opponent - NYR
Proj Pts FD - 15.68 DK - 3.92
There are a few solid options at the goalie position today, but I believe that there are two that stand out above the rest. Let's start with Dubnyk, who has been solid overall this season with a 22-10-4 record and four shutouts, but he's been money at home as he is 14-2-4 with a stifling .933 save % and a 2.11 GAA. The Rangers picked up a win in Winnipeg last game, but they only scored two goals and their offense is ranked 21st on the road. The Wild are lights out in their home barn as they own the league's #1 defense there, so with all of these things considered, Dubnyk is an elite play and my top goalie in all formats.
Opponent - OTT
Proj Pts FD - 15.73 DK - 3.93
Here we have another goalie who is much better while playing at home. The two-time Stanley Cup champion is 7-8-1 on the road, but an impressive 12-4-1 in Pittsburgh and he has won four of his last five starts and he allowed only one goal last game against a very talented Blues squad. What's very intriguing about Murray today, is the fact that the Senators are an awful hockey team that is ranked dead last in the league offensively on the road and the Penguins are listed as massive -270 favorites, so fire up Murray in all formats.
Also Consider: Marc Andre-Fleury(PIT)
Opponent - OTT
Proj Pts FD - 15.54 DK - 4.57
After going 10 games without a goal, the superstar center scored two last game for his 400th and 401st of his career, so now that the monkey is off of his back, the Senators could be in for a world of hurt today. Sid has two goals, two assists, and 13 shots in his last three games and 29 shots in his last seven, which is the perfect mixture of safety and upside that we are looking for in all formats. The Senators are ranked third-worst defensively, so Crosby is a terrific play in all formats, especially on Draftkings where he is $1700 cheaper than on Fanduel.
Stack with: Dominik Simon, Bryan Rust
Opponent - CGY
Proj Pts FD - 17.69 DK - 5.26
This guy just keeps rolling along as much as I hate to say it being a Habs fan and all, but I appreciate good players and this guy is one of the very best in the league. In his last three games, he has three goals, two assists, and 12 shots to give him 16 points in his last 12 games and 49 points in 49 games. The Flames are ranked 11th defensively, but their starting goalie Mike Smith is injured, which is terrible news for them. Bergeron also averages an impressive 3.63 shots on goal per game, so all things considered, he is a great play and safe in all formats.
Stack with: Brad Marchand, David Pastrnak
Opponent - NYR
Proj Pts FD - 10.84 DK - 3.08
I had trouble finding value at the center position today, which is odd for a huge slate and I'll warn you that this guy isn't for the faint of heart and he offers very little safety as he averages only 1.69 shots per game. Where I do like him though, is in GPP formats as he and the Wild prepare to face the Rangers and their 25th ranked road defense. Coyle scored two goals last game and is a very streaky player, so he could go off again today making him a perfect boom or bust option.
Stack with: Zach Parise, Matt Cullen
Opponent - CHI
Proj Pts FD - 13.92 DK - 4.09
I am totally confident in spending up at the center position today and it's because of the tremendous value we have here at the winger position. Let's start with Marchessault, who is having one heck of a season with the Golden Knights as he has 54 points in 52 games. Before last game, he had three multi-point games with two goals and four assists and he's averaged 3.44 shots on goal on the season, which is fifth-best amongst wingers. The Hawks are ranked 14th in defense, but they are a complete mess right now as they've lost six in a row while allowing 24 goals in that span, so lock and load this guy in all formats.
Stack with: William Karlsson, Reilly Smith
Opponent - NYI
Proj Pts FD - 12.76 DK - 3.66
In case you didn't know, the Islanders are ranked dead last defensively(a spot they've owned for a while now), so we need to pick on them every time they hit the ice. From a PTS/$ perspective, this guy could be my favorite overall play at any position as he torched the Islanders four games ago in this same building with a goal and eight shots, and he has a goal, two assists, and a whopping 24 shots in his last five games. Atkinson plays on the #1 line and the #1 powerplay unit for the Jackets, so he is an elite play in all formats.
Stack with: Pierre-Luc Dubois, Artemi Panarin
Opponent - BUF
Proj Pts FD - 9.61 DK - 2.81
You may have wondered why I didn't list Nikita Kucherov as my top winger this evening. Well, it is because this guy is dirt cheap and he plays with him on the same line and on the deadly #1 powerplay unit. He has also been playing well lately as he has three goals, two assists, and 11 shots during his current four-game point streak and the Sabres are ranked fourth-worst defensively, so lock and load Killorn in all formats.
Stack with: Nikita Kucherov, Brayden Point
Also Consider: Taylor Hall(NJ)
DEFENSEMEN
Opponent - NYI
Proj Pts FD - 13.52 DK - 3.9
There is surprisingly little value today at the defense position in my opinion, so spending up in one of your spots is a great idea and we can't go wrong with Jones, who has three assists and ten shots in his last two games and 21 shots and six blocks in his last six. Like I said earlier, The Islanders are ranked 31st defensively and Jones logs a ton of ice time on the #1 defensive pairing and the #1 powerplay unit for the Jackets, so fire him up in all formats folks.
Opponent - OTT
Proj Pts FD - 8.27 DK - 2.39
You probably aren't going to win a tournament with this guy, but who knows, stranger things have happened. Where he brings us value is in cash games where he has a goal, two assists, five shots, and ten blocks in his last four games, and he has 28 blocks in his last ten. He is simply too cheap for this kind of production, so lock him into your cash game lineups and spend up elsewhere.
Also Consider: Brent Burns(SJ), Jake Muzzin(LA)
Hockey is back and with it comes our NHL projections which help inform these picks every night. When you purchase a DFSR NHL subscription to our base hockey projections you also get access to our brand new NFL DFS suite of tools including full projections, optimal NFL lineups and our Player Lab, which includes filters to help you create NFL lineups for FanDuel and DraftKings for any format. It’s a set of tools well beyond anything we’ve ever had, and something we feel will help our users *ahem* tackle the NFL season.
If you want to see the numbers behind our projections, create linueps with a single click, or research as deeply as your heart desires, click the button below to test out yourself.
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NHL sheet for today:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1WWjzG2KFQpY2TZ0LpRJTFgsLNXnuhH8MVoPkCa3QLsU/edit?usp=sharing