Basketball Picks Daily Fantasy Expert Advice
Daily Fantasy NBA News and Injury Updates - 12/28/17
Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NBA optimizer, our NFL Optimizer, and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below.
First time with NBA or NFL? Be sure to read our free NBA and NFL Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered.
What We Know
Chris Paul has been ruled out against the Celtics
Paul has missed the last 2 games, but came into today questionable. It keeps James Harden and Eric Gordon close to 40 minutes and elite plays in all formats in an expected close game with the Celtics. Kyrie Irving will also see much worse defense on the perimeter.
Jeff Teague has been ruled out against the Bucks
Jeff Teague missed quite a few games earlier on the season and we know exactly where to go. Tyus Jones will jump in for 34+ minutes and is the best value play on the slate. Jimmy Butler and KAT may also see and extra2-3 shots, but Jones doesn't mind shooting. Teague isn't a huge usage guy on this offense, so look at Jones as the main benefactor.
Reggie Jackson will miss 6-8 weeks with a sprained ankle
Ish Smith jumped into the same role last year and ended up close to $7k before Jackson came back. He's going to get 30+ minutes again this season, but they do have a viable backup in Langston Galloway that will probably pick up 20 minutes at the 1 and 2. Smith is still a guy I love in all formats and will have a lot of next to Tyus Jones. The Magic are a below averages defense and Elfrid Payton is nothing to run away from. Smith takes less shots than RJax, and most of them will go to Harris and Drummond.
What We're Waiting to Know
Aaron Gordon is a GTD against the Pistons
Gordon has been out forever, so we know what to expect. If Gordon does play, he'll take away some minutes from Biyombo and Payne, but we have no idea if Gordon will even see 20 minutes. The Pistons are one of the slower teams on this slate and this isn't a sitution I'm a big fan of in general. Biyombo is a terrific option in all formats if you need a cheap center.
Joel Embiid and Robert Covington are questionable against the Blazers
Both of these guys are huge pieces of this offense take up a lot of shots + minutes. With Embiid, his absence clearly benefits a couple guys. Richaun Holmes would pick up 22+ minutes and be a very strong cash game play against Portland. Dario Saric, Trevor Booker, and Amir Johnson would split the rest and pick up an extra 5-7 each. Saris and Booker are guys I have interest in large-field tournaments. As for Covington, his situation is a little more blurry. Justin Anderson is the backup, but he doesn't play. I wouldn't be surprised to see 25 minutes out of nowhere from a pretty good DFS player, but it's tough to predict. I think Redick and Simmons will both see an extra 5-7 minutes and are already going to see a boost in usage if Embiid is out. Embiid and Covington are options 1 and 3, so everyone that gets minutes is going to see a higher usage than normal and is underpriced in turn.
Every Lineup Guys
Tyus Jones FD - $3600 DK - $3400
Opponent - MIL
Proj Pts FD - 11.1 DK - 10.73
Real easy one to figure out here. Jeff Teague missed out on a lot of the season earlier and Tyus Jones got up to 40 minutes a couple times. You can lock him in for 35+ here and an absolute lock for cash game value. At $3500 on both sites, Jones only needs you about 20 in cash games. He should get that in 1 half with ease. Eric Bledsoe is an average defender and the Bucks don't have much protection at the rim. Tyus Jones should be in every lineup tonight as I really don't see a scenario where he busts. Get him into 100% of lineups and get above the field.