Baseball Picks Daily Fantasy Expert Advice
Daily Fantasy MLB Hitter Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 9/26/17
Here's where you can find some recommendations for GPP stacks to target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here.
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CLEVELAND INDIANS
Before we get started, let's acknowledge the fact that baseball will be played in Coors Field tonight and both the Rockies and Marlins have nice implied totals and could obviously go nuts. It's never a sure-fire play to fade Coors, but if you want to go that route, you've got options tonight. Chief among them, we like the Indians, because while Bartolo Colon has shown glimpses of competency since joining the Twins midway through the year, lately he's been reminding us why the Braves left him on the scrap heap. Over his last three starts, he's given up 16 runs and four homers in 11 innings, bringing his season totals to a 6.63 ERA/5.27 FIP. And he hasn't discriminated in L/R splits with a wOBA in the mid .380s and an ISO pushing .240 against both. That gives us loads of Indians worth considering. Lindor, Ramirez and Encarnacion are our favorites, but they're pricey. If you're looking to save a little on salary, a mini stack of Jay Bruce (.267 ISO vs. R), Carlos Santana (.223) and Jason Kipnis (.192) could also produce big value.
ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS
A quick caveat here: We're obviously banking on the Arizona regulars to be back in the lineup after getting Monday off in the wake of clinching a playoff berth Sunday. And if we get our usual crew, there's plenty to like against Matt Moore in Chase Field. Moore has been pretty dreadful this year, but he's been especially bad away from his forgiving home park (6.51 ERA/5.27 xFIP on the road). Meanwhile, the D-backs have four guys we love vs. southpaws: Pollock, Goldschmidt, Martinez and Iannetta. All four have ISOs over .230 in the split. The drawback is that they're not getting a ton of help from their teammates (Arizona is near the bottom of the league in wRC+ vs. LHP this season). That's not insignificant and cuts into the expected production of the guys we like. But on the other hand Moore is also yielding a .438 wOBA vs. L this season, so we could see guys like Peralta and Lamb could chipping in and turning this one into a blowout.
KANSAS CITY ROYALS
This one is more of a FanDuel play, and based in no small part on the affordability of Mike Moustakas ($2.6K). The Royals prices on FD means homers are less necessary to get good value out of them, and that's important in Kauffman Stadium. But while Kauffman limits longball upside, it's not quite a inhospitable to offense as its reputation might have you believe (FanGraphs' park factors, regressed over a three-year period, have it eighth-best in the league for overall offense even though it's near the bottom for HRs). But I feel like we may have buried the lead here, which is Anibal Sanchez. He's coming off two strong starts, and we'll admit that gives us pause, but we're still willing to take a couple of shots at him based on his longer recent track record: 6.68 ERA, 5.74 FIP, 2.48 HRs/9, .272 ISO v. R, .226 ISO v. L, etc., etc., etc. The middle-back of the order is what's most attractive to us here, starting with Eric Hosmer (.401 wOBA vs. RHP) and running through Brandon Moss (.238 ISO).
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