Daily Fantasy MLB Pitchers for FanDuel and DraftKings - 9/25/17

Here's where you can find some recommendations for tournament pitchers target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here.

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Luke Weaver FD 9500 DK 9900
Opponent - CHC (Lester) Park - @STL
FD - 33 DK - 21.8

A matchup with the Cubs is obviously not great, and we'd hesitate using Weaver in cash games for that reason, but he's been too good to ignore. And by "too good" we mean the dude's been an absolute stud. Since becoming a fixture in the Cardinals rotation about a month ago, he's leading all pitchers with at least 20 IP in xFIP (1.90), and he's second in FIP (1.58), and third in Ks/9 (12.1). And while scouts probably didn't expect this kind of dominance out of the 24-year-old, it's not like it's coming completely out of nowhere either; he's a former first-round pick, a top-100 prospect, and was excellent at every stop in the minors. Is he due for some regression? Yeah, probably. It's not smart to predict the kind of outlier performance he's put up so far in 2017, and he hasn't faced the toughest lineups in the league yet. But the upside is tantalizing in a GPP format and it's well within the range of possible outcomes for him to outscore every pitcher on the slate tonight.

Max Fried FD 5500 DK 5800
Opponent - NYM (Lugo) Park - @NYM
FD - 26.97 DK - 17.84

File this one under "what the heck, why not?" Fried is scheduled to take the ball in the nightcap of the Braves/Mets doubleheader, so it's tough to say exactly what the opposing lineup will look like. Here's a good guess, though: not intimidating. Michael Conforto, Yoenis Cespedes and Wilmer Flores are all shelved for the remainder of the season, and Jay Bruce is in Cleveland, and of the remaining Mets, Travis d'Arnaud, Jose Reyes and Asdrubal Cabrera are the best guys left vs. LHP. Nobody else has a wOBA better than Gavin Cecchini's .345 against southpaws -- and actually nobody's even close. Also of interest, research confirms Gavin Cecchini is a real person. Interesting stuff. As for Fried, well, let's just say there's a reason he won't cost you anything. We've haven't gotten much of a look at him in the bigs this season (16.1 IP) and he's been pretty mediocre in the minors since returning from Tommy John last season. But he does have some pedigree -- he was the 7th overall pick in the 2012 draft and a top 50ish prospect before the injury. He's also shown flashes of nice bat-missing stuff and is still only 23 years old, so there's still some potential remaining in his left arm. That said, after a strong finish to 2016, he dipped a little below 9 Ks/9 in Double-A this season, and his command is spotty, at best, right now (4+ BBs/9 each of the last two seasons). So, you know, tread lightly, and treat Fried for what he is: a punt-priced SP2 with a good matchup. And while we're not *expecting* a big night from him, it wouldn't be a shock to see him return very nice value on a points-per-dollar basis.

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