Daily Fantasy MLB Pitchers for FanDuel and DraftKings - 8/29/17

Here's where you can find some recommendations for tournament pitchers target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here.

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Rich Hill FD 9400 DK 10900
Opponent - ARI (Godley) Park - @ARI
FD - 30.56 DK - 20.3

Ok. Sure. Why not. Maybe it's the fish play of the year, but we'll take a shot on Hill. To be clear, we like Sale and Arrieta more, but since we already talked them up in the cash game recommendations we're moving on to our No. 3 guy for SP1 consideration here. And it's fitting that we talk about Rich Hill here, because GPPs are the only place we can see using him tonight. Chase Field is just too hitter friendly, the D-backs hit lefties too well, and the unknowns are just to plentiful with Hill coming off a near perfect game (and a loss) last time out. But if you told us we'd be getting Hill at low ownership, we'd feel a lot better about overlooking all of the preceding, because there's still upside here. Hill started slow this season, but he's been lights out over the last couple of months, recording 11.5 Ks/9 with a 2.38 ERA and 3.17 FIP over his last 11 starts. And yeah, Arizona has great numbers against southpaws this season, but we're not sure how directly that applies to Hill, because he's a different kind of pitcher. Using his curveball at a 40% clip this season, he's held righties to a .255 wOBA with a 31 K%.

Trevor Bauer FD 8500 DK 7900
Opponent - NYY (Garcia) Park - @NYY
FD - 26.28 DK - 17.65

Holy cow, the middle tier of pitching is gross tonight. As of this morning, the projection system has exactly half of tonight's starters projected for less than 12 DK points. That tells us Luke Weaver is going to be extremely chalky -- and he should be. We wrote him up with the cash game picks, and he's certainly a viable GPP play, as well. But if you're looking to break away from the pack, Bauer deserves consideration. He likely won't be super popular pitching at the Yankees, and he definitely comes with some risk, but there's legitimate upside here, too. First the bad news, which is that even with Aaron Judge sitting, the Yankees are dangerous -- each of their top four hitters has an ISO over .200 vs. RHP this season. And Yankee Stadium obviously won't do Bauer any favors. Those concerns are real, and they're the reason we won't be touching Bauer in cash games. But it's not as bad of a matchup as it first appears. Lefties are the ones giving Bauer problems this season and Brett Gardner and Didi Gregorious are the only ones here we're truly concerned about. Could Greg Bird suddenly live up to his preseason hype? Sure. Could Chase Headley and/or Jacoby Ellsbury turn back the clock for a night? Yeah, it's baseball and those things happen. But in terms of probability, we think the risk/reward calculus favors Bauer (10.14 Ks/9, 3.60 xFIP this season). One big caveat here: the weather looks like it could be an issue, so keep an eye on that.

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