Here's where you can find some recommendations for GPP stacks to target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here.
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We're banking on recency bias here, because the relative under-performance of the Coors Field offenses last night (plus some high-priced pitching) means we could get the Rockies at relatively low ownership tonight. That's the hope anyway, because they're in an excellent spot to make noise against Braves rookie southpaw Sean Newcomb. Newcomb has some solid swing-and-miss stuff, but he leans on his curveball, and that's a problem in Denver, where the thin air tends to flatten the break on vertical movement. Also, we've got some righties to build around in the Colorado lineup who are putting up obscene numbers vs. LHP this season. Righties Nolan Arenado (.514 wOBA, .414 ISO), Trevor Story (.390/.314) and D.J. LeMahieu (.422/.154) are the obvious guys, but don't overlook Charlie Blackmon (.428/.262).
We don't make a habit of picking on Mike Leake, because he doesn't give up a ton of homers, but he's also a low-K guy facing a team that rarely whiffs, so we like the Red Sox chances to compile production tonight. Vegas apparently agrees, because they've got Boston pegged with one of the highest totals on the night at 5.35 implied runs as of this morning. Home runs aren't what makes this offense tick, but there's probably more pop in this lineup than you might think. Mookie Betts, Andrew Benintendi and Mitch Moreland are all in the .195 ISO range vs. RHP, and Rafael Devers continues to rake since getting called up (.463 wOBA, .383 ISO in 52 PAs vs. RHP). You can also give Eduardo Nunez (.352 wOBA vs. RHP) a look, and the projection system likes Hanley on a points/$ basis.
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This one's a bit of a game theory play. It's always a little tricky to accurately project ownership on a big slate like the 14-gamer we've got tonight, but we like the chances that expensive pitching, Coors Field and an attractive total in the Tigers-Rangers game will divert attention away from the Dodgers and their matchup with soft-tossing Miguel Gonzalez (5.70 xFIP). And really, regardless of ownership, the Dodgers are rarely a bad stack to consider. They're a top-five offense in wRC+, wOBA and ISO vs. RHP this season, and their projected lineup includes five guys with a wOBA over .370 (Taylor, Seager, Turner, Bellinger, Puig), and five with an ISO over .200 (Taylor, Bellinger, Puig, Grandal, Pederson). That gives us lots of options to build around, and we'd recommend at least a little exposure throughout the order tonight.
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