New York Yankees starting pitcher Luis Severino throws to the Texas Rangers during the first inning of a baseball game, Tuesday, April 26, 2016, in Arlington, Texas. (AP Photo/Tony Gutierrez)
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Opponent - CHW (Lopez) Park - @CHW
FD - 29.18 DK - 15.17
There really aren't a whole lot of options on the mound tonight which gives the slate a huge GPP feel right from the start. If you are avoiding the top tier options I have a few other options who make fairly high upside plays given their matchups. It starts with Duffy who gets a terrific matchup vs. the White Sox. Yes, they are better vs. left-handed pitchers but have faded a ton in the second half since trading away Todd Frazier. Over the last 14 days, they have seen their K rate elevate to nearly 27% which should provide a nice boost to Duffy's average K rate(7.8 K/9). Since returning from the DL in early July, he has held opponents to three or less earned runs in five of his seven starts.
Opponent - TEX (Hamels) Park - @TEX
FD - 30.13 DK - 15.86
While Duffy's upside lies with his matchup vs. the White Sox, Morton's has his own built-in upside with a near elite 9.82 K/9 rate. The other metric that stands out to me as he faces a power upside team is that he has limited opponents overall to a very low 28.5% hard contact rate while allowing just 28% flyballs. This, by no means, paints a picture of safety as the Rangers rank inside the Top 10 in overall run scoring and have been better against right-handed pitchers. The big thing that stands out to me is that over the last 14 days the Rangers have struck out just over 27% of the time.
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My SP sheet for today:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1S2lakMRsnteep1BsaRr0gieglhkx5zSiVBQv6QKPcsA/edit?usp=sharing