Boston Red Sox's Chris Sale pitches during the first inning of a baseball game against the Tampa Bay Rays in Boston, Saturday, April 15, 2017, in Boston. (AP Photo/Michael Dwyer)
Here's where you can find some recommendations for tournament pitchers target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here.
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Opponent - CLE (Carrasco) Park - @BOS
FD - 43.62 DK - 28.82
We went with Scherzer in the cash game picks, so we're writing up Sale here. But really, you can play either guy in whatever format you choose. The matchup against Cleveland is less than ideal -- the Indians rank fifth in wRC+ vs. LHP and have the second-lowest K% in the split. And that's why we landed on Scherzer in cash games. But for tourney purposes, we like Sale quite a bit. The abundance of good arms on tonight's 15-game slate should dilute his ownership, and while the Cleveland offense is stout, no offense is 100 percent Sale-proof. He leads all qualified starters in Ks/9 (12.8) and FIP (1.92), while ranking second in xFIP (2.65) and third in ERA (2.37).
Opponent - SD (Chacin) Park - @SD
FD - 33.33 DK - 22.01
Berrios has cooled off a bit since scorching the league through his first eight starts, but take a look at some of the offenses who have touched him up lately: the Dodgers, Yankees, Astros. Yeah, the top three offenses in baseball vs. RHP. Sure, the Royals got to him, too, but the point remains: the Padres will be the easiest matchup he's faced in a while. They have the highest K% in baseball vs. RHP (25.4%) and rank 25th vs. righties in wRC+. And even with the return of Yangervis Solarte, a solid contact hitter, their projected starters in tonight's lineup have a 26.3 K% vs. RHP. So the matchup is right, and the park favors pitching. The question is, which Berrios do we get. Honestly, I kinda think the good Berrios/bad Berrios thing is a false dichotomy. The 23-year-old has dynamic stuff and is capable of hitting double-digit Ks when he's on his game, and the over his struggles over the last six starts look like product of equal parts tough matchups and tough luck. He's given up a .364 BABIP during that span, and Statcast data says it hasn't really been earned (.328 BA vs. .300 xBA). Of course, he could end up being chalk, at least on DraftKings, but I'm willing to eat given the value/upside combo we're getting here.
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My pitcher sheet for tonight:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1kRCB6H_w2Tuj90anvLKjD20rRLo9Bocpwq5QG1MIqHQ/edit?usp=sharing