Baseball Picks Daily Fantasy Expert Advice
Daily Fantasy MLB Hitter Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 8/1/17
Here's where you can find some recommendations for GPP stacks to target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here.
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COLORADO ROCKIES
Hey, I'd like to give you something a little less chalky here, but we can't avoid the Rockies tonight. Also: a 15-game slate and some very attractive high-dollar pitching options means ownership could be kept in check. But that's just bonus, because the Rockies have too many guys crushing southpaws for us to fade them against a struggling Steven Matz in Coors Field. For one thing, Matz relies heavily on his sinker and curveball, both of which tend to flatten out in the thin Denver atmosphere. So that's bad. Now consider that even under more favorable conditions, Matz is getting smashed this season giving up a 4.95 FIP and a .361 wOBA through nine starts. Maybe the live arm we saw last year is still in there somewhere, but until it re-emerges, we're going to be picking on him. That should be easy to do with Colorado. Four Rockies regulars have a wOBA over .380 against LHP since the start of last season (Arenado, Story, Blackmon, LeMahieu), and Gerardo Parra has done good work in limited PAs this season.
NEW YORK YANKEES
If the Rockies go off, the Yankees could be the offense in the best position to keep pace tonight. It takes a lot to make up for the advantage Coors offers, but look at we've got working in the Yankees' favor tonight: 1) They rank 2nd in wRC+, third in wOBA and seventh in ISO vs. RHP this season; 2) Yankee Stadium is one of the better parks in baseball for HR factors 3) Anibal Sanchez is pitching; 4) A Tigers bullpen that has the worst ERA, FIP and xFIP in the league; and 5) That bullpen lost its best reliever via trade last week. So, yeah. A lot to like here. Sanchez looked like he may have rediscovered his previous form after returning from a stint in Triple-A, but he's been slapped around in his three most recent starts, so we feel OK trusting that he's still the same guy who has a 5.07 FIP since the beginning of last year. Nearly any Yankee who turns your head is in play here. They've got six guys in their projected lineup with a wOBA over .340 vs. RHP this season (Judge, Sanchez, Gardner, Frazier, Didi and Headley), and replace Headley with Matt Holliday and the same group all have ISOs over .200 in the split.
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LOS ANGELES DODGERS
This feels more like a boom/bust play than the others thanks to the relative unknown of Braves starter Lucas Sims. The 23-year-old is a former first-round pick making his major league debut, and while he's got the proven ability to miss bats in the minors, he also comes with his share of red flags. He's struggled with walks in the past, and while that has improved this year, he's still prone to give up the long ball, yielding 2.1 HRs/9 last season and 1.5/9 this year. 1.5 might not sound that bad in today's MLB offensive environment, but the International League is generally favorable to pitchers, and Sims' 19 HRs allowed this year is fourth-most in the league. That said, it's never easy to project MLB debuts, especially with a guy like Sims whose range of possible outcomes looks especially broad. But given SunTrust Park's growing reputation as a lefty power booster, Sims' .800 OPS allowed vs. lefties this season, and the Dodgers' overall awesomeness (top wRC+ in the NL vs. righties), we're going to be getting some exposure the LA lineup tonight.
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image sources
- 1024px-Coors_Field,_Denver,_Colorado,_US: By color line (Flickr) [CC BY 2.0 (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0)], via Wikimedia Commons