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Baseball Picks Daily Fantasy Expert Advice

07/31/2017
Brent Holloway

Daily Fantasy MLB Pitchers for FanDuel and DraftKings - 7/31/17

Here's where you can find some recommendations for tournament pitchers target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here.

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Pitchers

Sonny GraySonny Gray FD 9500 DK 11700
Opponent - SF (Cain) Park - @OAK
FD - 29.24 DK - 19.4

Anybody throwing against the Giants is worth consideration right now, and Sonny Gray has been really good this year -- but this one comes with big caveat: Gray may not be playing for Oakland by the time first pitch comes around. He's been linked most recently to the Yankees and to a lesser extent the Braves, and it seems likely that some sort of deal gets worked out before the deadline expires. But assuming it doesn't, Gray's in a decent spot tonight. The Giants don't strike out much, but they rank 29th in wRC+ and dead last in team wOBA vs. RHP, so even if the ceiling isn't as high as we'd usually like, the floor is solid. Honestly, this feels more like a cash game play, but given the dearth of palatable SP options on tonight's eight-game slate (and the fact that we already wrote up two of the most attractive plays in the cash game article) Gray is kind of the best of what's left. He's got a 3.29 xFIP and 8.72 Ks/9 on the season, so even if he's not a good candidate for double-digit Ks, he should be among the top SP producers on the slate.

Gio GonzalezGio Gonzalez FD 8700 DK 11200
Opponent - MIA (Urena) Park - @MIA
FD - 30.64 DK - 20.34

Ok, if Gray is a little too "safe" for your GPP tastes, Gio should be right up your alley. A model of inconsistency for most of his career, Gonzalez is in the midst of one of his best seasons -- or at least that's what the surface stats would have us believe. But unlike 2012, when his 2.89 ERA was backed up by a 2.82 FIP, the underlying numbers this year say he's due for some regression (2.81 ERA/4.24 FIP). Typically, we'd prefer to steer clear of that kind of disparity, but we don't really have that luxury tonight if we're playing multiple lineups, so Gio has to at least be considered. If you're looking for reasons to believe, you might find it in the game log. Gonzalez has been really good lately, racking up 9.08 Ks/9 with just .75 HRs/9, giving him a 3.25 FIP over his last 11 starts. That's pretty encouraging, even if the guy who has walked nearly 4 per 9 IP over the course of his career is probably lurking. As for tonight's opponent, the Marlins present a pretty neutral matchup, ranking league average in wRC+ vs. LHP with a 20% K rate.

 

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