Daily Fantasy MLB Pitchers for FanDuel and DraftKings - 7/25/17

Here's where you can find some recommendations for tournament pitchers target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here.

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Pitchers

Charlie Morton FD 8600 DK 8800
Opponent - PHI (Pivetta) Park - @PHI
FD - 30.61 DK - 20.31

Tonight's 14-game slate is an interesting one for starting pitcher. We've got plenty of usable arms to choose from, but hardly anybody in a can't-miss spot for upside. As far as matchups go, Morton's might be the best. The park isn't ideal, but we've got no hesitation picking on the Phillies, who have been one of baseball's worst offenses vs. RHP, ranking 28th in wRC+ with the sixth-highest K% (23.5%) in the split. Morton, though, has run hot and cold most of the season. He's nearing 10 Ks/9, but he's giving up 3.58 BBs/9. He's got a solid 3.74 xFIP on the year, but has surrendered at least four runs in six of his 13 starts. That up-and-down trend has continued since he's come off the DL, but we're willing to take a shot on him tonight. That's due equally to his own talent (highest K/9 on the slate dating back to last season) and to the Phils' offensive ineptitude (one guy in the projected lineup with an ISO over .200 vs. RHP).

Jon Gray FD 6900 DK 9000
Opponent - STL (Lynn) Park - @STL
FD - 28.26 DK - 18.95

Ok, I don't actually love this play, but I think we have to talk about him, because I get the feeling he's going to be extremely popular, especially at that FanDuel price. And truthfully, that's part of the reason I'm not excited to roster him -- it feels like the enthusiasm (and ownership) for this guy outstrips the results. Don't get me wrong, he's talented. He's averaged 9.61 Ks/9 and has a respectable 3.62 xFIP through 45 big league starts. If he's on, he could definite rack up points against a so-so Cardinals offense (98 wRC+, 21 K% vs. RHP). So if you're building multiple lineups, I think some exposure is warranted. But personally, I'd prefer to be underweight relative to the rest of the field, because I think the risk attached is just as real and significant. Oddly, Gray has been worse away from Coors Field this season, but with such a limited sample size, that .405 wOBA he's allowed is due largely to the eight runs he gave up in two IP at Citi Field two starts ago. But then how do we explain the fact that he gave up bigger numbers on the road last year, with a .322 wOBA and 4.14 xFIP compared to .290 and 3.07 at home? It's weird, and I'm not sure I totally believe it, but the numbers are what they are and they have me wary about going too heavy on Gray tonight.

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