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We do have a bunch of intriguing offenses to choose from, so I don't want to say any of these teams are musts. However, there is a very good shot of these Astros doing damage. They face off with Ervin Santana, at home in the hitter-friendly Minute Maid Park. Ervin Santana was having a good season, but we all knew it was going to crash soon. The Astros hold the slate highest implied team total of 5.39 and are big favorites in Vegas. Santana gave up a .393 wOBA in June, where his regression finally caught up with him. He also holds a 4.79 xFIP and strikes out just 6.8 batters per 9 innings, which are both very underwhelming numbers. He also still holds a .217 BABIP, so more regression is still coming. The Astros are extremely lethal and I see no way they don't do some damage here. Altuve and Correa are the 2 obvious options and I wouldn't make a stack without either of them. You then get into guys like George Springer and Josh Reddick, who are very elite options, but not musts. Gattis, McCann, Beltran, and Bregman are another 4 great hitters who simply don't make the cut in a 4-man stack. However, in tournaments, you can really go anywhere.
Main Stack - Jose Altuve, Carlos Correa, George Springer, Josh Reddick
Sneaky Stack - Jose Altuve, Carlos Correa, Brian McCann, Carlos Beltran
It looks like the Cubs are starting to get things rolling. They put up 9 runs last night and made some moves over the break. When the Cubs do start putting things together, watch out. There will be a stretch where they put up at least 5 or 6 runs on a nightly basis and they aren't priced like it at all. At least not yet. They'll be facing off with Wade Miley tonight, who is one of the easier guys in the league to figure out. While he's not the worst pitcher, you know exactly what to expect. Miley is trash against righties and very good against lefties. That simple. He's sported a .373 wOBA against righties to start the season and has allowed 12 homers in just over 70 innings. This Cubs lineup is obviously lethal, but not as cut and dry as the Astros. Rizzo and Bryant are the 2 elite bats and while Bryant is higher today, I love both. Contreras and Russell both have a ton of power against lefties and in Camden Yards, I wouldn't be surprised to see a couple homers. Zobrist and Happ deserve some consideration as well as switch-hitting bats with some power and a lot of consistency.
Main Stack - Kris Bryant, Anthony Rizzo, Ian Happ, Ben Zobrist
Sneaky Stack - Kris Bryant, Addison Russell, Willson Contreras, Ian Happ
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