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This game between the Indians and Rockies held a 10 over/under last night. As of now, it's down to 9. While that would typically suggest staying away from both offenses, this line movement actually just speaks to Trevor Bauer and his legitimacy as a value option tonight. The Indians are still projected to put up 5.62 runs and remain one of the 2 best tournaments stacks on the slate. They face off with Luis Perdomo, who struggles against both righties and lefties. While he has been much worse against lefties this season with a .380 wOBA, a .355 wOBA in 2016 against righties is nearly as bad. He moves from Petco Park to Progressive Field, which is a big bump for hitting. One of the only problems with the Indians is they actually have too many good hitters. It's only a negative in DFS because you're limited to 4 or 5 bats and will have to ignore a very good bat. First things first, you'll have to choose between Encarnacion and Santana. They are both great options and I have no favorite. Second, you run into Jason Kipnis and Michael Brantley. They are both extremely elite against righties and aren't guys I would leave off a stack. Francisco Lindor and Jose Ramirez are the 2 other guys you're going to have to choose from. Personally, I'll take Ramirez, but I couldn't blame anyone for going with Lindor in the 2 hole.
Main Stack - Jason Kipnis, Carlos Santana, Michael Brantley, Jose Ramirez
Sneaky Stack - Jason Kipnis, Francisco Lindor, Edwin Encarnacion, Jose Ramirez
I could of went with the Rockies or Reds here, but I don't need to tell you to play an offense in Coors Field. Instead, we'll take a look at the Minnesota Twins. The Twins are facing off with the possible worst pitcher on the slate, Parker Bridwell. Bridwell has been absolutely horrible so far and while he hasn't pitched enough to completely judge him, his minor league numbers haven't suggested anything different would happen. He has sported a 4.00+ xFIP in AA and struggled to strikeout more than 8 batters per 9 innings. He walks close to 4 and should have a whole bunch of trouble pitching to some of these patient Twins. Bridwell has been just as bad against righties as lefties, so I don't see the need to ignore any group. Sano and Dozier are my favorite of the bunch and simply just the best hitters on this team. Robbie Grossman and Max Kepler are both excellent options in the OF that hit righties extremely well. After that, Escobar and Polanco are great in GPP's and should be very low owned. I'm a fan of both and will have a ton of Polanco as he seems to go overlooked and hits righties very well. All in all, the Twins won't be too heavily owned and have a great chance of putting one of the biggest performances of the night.
Main Stack - Brian Dozier, Robbie Grossman, Miguel Sano, Max Kepler
Sneaky Stack - Brian Dozier, Miguel Sano, Jorge Polanco, Eduardo Escobar
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