Daily Fantasy MLB Pitchers for FanDuel and DraftKings - 7/4/17

Here's where you can find some recommendations for tournament pitchers target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here.

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Pitchers

Jimmy Nelson FD 9100 DK
Opponent - BAL (Jimenez) Park - @MIL
FD - 28.85 DK - 0

Nelson may not be the safest play on the board, but safety isn't what we're after in GPPs. We need big scores, high ceiling, upside. Nelson's got all that, and he could come with the bonus of low ownership thanks to Archer, Lester and possibly Michael Fulmer diverting attention. Though he's flown somewhat under the radar this season -- presumably because he's Jimmy Nelson and we've all been burned by him before -- he's actually been really good. He's fanning better than a batter per inning on the year and has double-digit Ks in four of his last seven games. Also, his 3.43 ERA his backed up by a 3.38 xFIP, and while that hat might not sound like ace caliber, it's actually the ninth-best xFIP in baseball among qualified starters this season. Like I said, really good. Of course, he'll have to tangle with a (theoretically) dangerous Orioles lineup in homer-friendly park, so it's not an ideal matchup, but the risks are acceptable. The Orioles have some established thumpers, but most aren't not living up to their reputations in 2017. In fact, Trey Mancini and Jonathan Schoop are the only guys in the lineup with a wOBA over .330 or an ISO over .200 against righties this season. As a team they rank 20th vs. RHP in wRC+ and have a healthy 22.8% K rate, so we're not gonna be afraid to roll out some Nelson lineups today.

Brad Peacock FD 8000 DK
Opponent - ATL (Newcomb) Park - @ATL
FD - 28.37 DK - 0

We've got a pretty high ratio of good arms on the late slate, but we're not touching Price or Darvish in Arlington, so if we're pivoting off of Kluber and Kershaw, Peacock is the first place we're turning. Just about the only thing holding him back right now is the fact that he doesn't work deep into games -- or at least he hasn't yet. He has just one game with six full innings to his credit since moving into the rotation, but he's fully stretched out now, so if he can find the zone consistently there's no reason he can't go deeper. His pitch count has been climbing steadily and reached 106 last time out, so we're not too concerned about a strict limit. Unfortunately those 106 pitches only got him through five innings, because he walked six guys. That's obviously troubling, but even with too many free passes, he's been pretty nasty, striking out 13 per 9 IP with a 2.72 ERA, 2.40 FIP and 3.47 xFIP.

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