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I know, very sneaky. The Yankees are going to be a very popular team today and I'm going to be jumping right on that train. Austin Bibens-Dirkx is a horrible pitcher and we're going to see him get destroyed for a few starts. He is currently holding a .180 BABIP, which is just crazy. His BABIP will come up to around .310 and the Yankees should be a big help in the process. They are currently implied to score over 6 runs, which is easily the highest on the slate. There at home in Yankee Stadium, where they have been the 2nd best offense in all of baseball. Once Bibens-Dirkx is out of the game, the Yanks will see a bullpen that leaves a lot to be desired. They and Bibens-Dirkx are moving from Globe Life Park to Yankee Stadium, which is pretty even. It is is a bit smaller for lefties and we could see a few head out to that short porch in right. All in all, there aren't many stats to explain why Bibens-Dirkx is bad. Once that BABIP regulates, everything will be a lot more clear. Until then, keep targeting offenses against him. Aaron Judge and Gary Sanchez are obviously locks and have more upside than anyone, even against a righty. You can than go a ton of different ways. The Yankees offense is pretty spread and can produce from a lot of different spots.
Main Stack - Aaron Judge, Gary Sanchez, Matt Holliday, Aaron Hicks
Sneaky Stack - Aaron Judge, Gary Sanchez, Starlin Castro, Brett Gardner
The late slate isn't nearly as fruitful from an offensive standpoint as the early one, where we saw 2 teams implied to score around 6. Here, we don't get that. We do see the Phillies head into Chase Field with Edward Lively. Lively has been bad against everyone but especially righties, sporting a .369 wOBA. Lively is very young and he isn't anything special to write home about. If anything, he's the opposite. He won't be around much longer with a 3.17 K/9, I can promise you that. Chase Field is the 2nd best ballpark in baseball for hitters and I see no reason not to love the D-Backs here. They are the leagues 3rd best hitting team at home and have a few lefties who can really dominate righties. Jake Lamb and David Peralta are basically musts if you're stacking this team, as well as Paul Goldschmidt. This offense is pretty concentrated and you will rarely see the 7-9 produce on a regular basis. Chris Herrmann has a lot of upside against righties, but just doesn't see the lineup on a consistent basis. If he's in there, he comes in as my 4th favorite bat on the team.
Main Stack - Jake Lamb, David Peralta, Paul Goldschmidt, Jeremy Hazelbaker
Sneaky Stack - Jake Lamb, David Peralta, Paul Goldschmidt, Chris Herrmann
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When you stack two teams, is one total run considered acceptable? Been there, done that.