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No surprise here as the Rockies lead the way in the stack department today with an implied run projection over six which is nearly a full run higher than any other team on the main slate. It makes sense as they return home to Coors Field tonight after spending all but two games on the road in the month of June. Not only do they get to return home to the best hitters environment in the league but they also get an elite matchup vs. Matt Moore who has been arguably one of the worst pitchers in the league to start the 2017 season. Ok, maybe that was harsh and I should clarify that he is much much worse on the road with a 7.94 ERA while allowing opponents to hit for a .329 average and much worse .433 wOBA. He has done pretty well in limiting the power(11.4% HR/FB rate) but will not be happy to see the Rockies again as he got crushed earlier in the year in back to back starts giving up 11 earned runs in 9.2 innings including four long balls. Looking at your Rockies leaders against left-handed pitching, you are going to want to build your stack around Nolan Arenado who leads the world vs. southpaws and then gets some Trevor Story and DJ Lemahieu who have also destroyed southpaws this season and for their careers.
Stack #2 is a big risk/reward play as there is rain in the forecast over Detroit. It appears, early on, that rain will pop up in the middle of the afternoon and start to dissipate as game time approaches at 7:05 Easter Time. This has me very confident they will get the entire game in and even if there is a small delay to start the game, it will affect the pitchers way more than the hitters. That is great news as the Tigers are in a great spot at home facing Alex Cobb who has struggled away from the Trop with a 5.01 ERA and has allowed opponents a batting average over .300 and wOBA over .350 on the road. The other issue with Cobb and upside for our Tiger stacks is that he has issues missing bats(6.4 K/9 & 7.4% swinging strike rate) and is giving up a whopping 38.3% hard contact. Overall, the Tigers sit in the middle of the pack against right-handed pitching but have some intriguing high-upside plays. Miguel Cabrera has seen a dip in his power numbers but is still a viable option who comes in hot with multiple hits in three straight games. Power hitters Justin Upton and J.D. Martinez make very high upside power hitter who both sport a wOBA over .340 and wRC+ over 115 against right-handed pitching this season despite both having strikeout rates over 25%. If Alex Avila is once again situated near the top of the order, he makes a great play as he has destroyed righties this season to the tune of a .466 wOBA and 197 wRC+ in 139 plate appearances. This is not likely to continue all season but the change in approach has gotten him back to his impressive numbers he posted in the 2011 season.
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Anyone have a strong lineup they feel confident about?
I'm stacking the opposite side. Giants baby!