Here's where you can find some recommendations for GPP stacks to target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here.
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If you're looking at wRC+, you might be tempted to fade the Rockies tonight. Don't do that. Weighted runs created is a great metric, but it basically zeroes out park factors and tells you how an offense performs in a perfectly neutral environment. That does us no good tonight, because the Colorado homestand continues. In this case, the wOBA, ISO and OPS give us a better idea of what we can expect from the Rockies, who rank among the top 6-7 in each category vs. LHP this season. Tonight they get Ariel Miranda, a fly-ball guy with significant HR problems through his first 100 innings in the bigs. Nolan Arenado and Trevor Story are our favorite plays -- both have a .400+ wOBA and .300+ ISO vs. southpaws since the beginning of 2016 -- but as always with Coors, no stacking scenario is completely out of bounds, and the bigger the GPP, the more creative you can get.
The Rogers Centre is one of our favorite places to turn as a pivot off of (or to pair with) Coors stacks. Unfortunately, the Blue Jays didn't make it easy on us for the first month or so of the season. They ranked 28th in baseball in wOBA (.284) during April, which makes their current mark (.314) pretty impressive by contrast. They've also recently welcomed Josh Donaldson, Russell Martin and Troy Tulowitzki back to the lineup, so now at full strength, we see plenty to like about this lineup against Asher Wojciechowski. The 28-year-old is a journeyman minor leaguer who gave up 1.81 HRs/9 with the Marlins' Triple-A affiliate last season -- granted, we're talking about the Pacific Coast League, which inflates offensive numbers, but you know what else inflates offensive numbers? Josh Donaldson, Joey Bautista, and the Rogers Centre. The guy's in a tough spot here. Vegas has the Jays pegged with Coors-like 5.72 implied runs, so we think it'd be wise to get some exposure here.
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Let's just make it the trifecta. Coors Field, Coors Light in Toronto and Nick Martinez, our old pal/punching bag in Arlington. We've made a habit of picking on the Rangers righty over the years -- especially at home -- and he's done us right more often than wrong. Let's check the numbers. Since the beginning of last season only two qualified pitchers have an xFIP worse than Martinez. One is back in the minors, the other is Jered Weaver. And if you run it back to 2014, when Martinez entered the league, nobody is worse (though Chris Young has been equally bad). So that's what we're dealing with here, and Globe Life Park is one of the best all-around hitter's parks in baseball. Lefties are especially rough on him, posting a .382 wOBA since the start of last season, so go ahead and queue up Corey Dickerson and Logan Morrison. You can throw Evan Longoria in there, too, because he's be much better against righties since the beginning of last season (.353 wOBA, .242 ISO), and Martinez has a career .354 wOBA allowed vs. righties.
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View Comments
Where are the LA Angels on your stacks list? You're not thinking Bartolo is gonna shut them down, do you?
Are you serious?