New York Yankees starting pitcher Luis Severino throws to the Texas Rangers during the first inning of a baseball game, Tuesday, April 26, 2016, in Arlington, Texas. (AP Photo/Tony Gutierrez)
Here's where you can find some recommendations for tournament pitchers target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here.
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Opponent - MIL (Anderson) Park - @SD
FD - 29.6 DK - 19.46
On a pitching slate this terrible, punt-and-pray is actually a viable tournament strategy at SP -- the logic running that none of the pitchers are that great, so why pay up for mediocrity when you can get it cheaply? That's part of the reason we're writing up Perdomo today, because unless you're playing all-day slates (and this would be a great time to try them out) there's not an ace to be found. But we should also mention that the projection system is reasonably high on the Padres starter. Petco is obviously a major contributor to the friendly projection, as is the Brewers' 24% K rate vs. RHP this season. As for Perdomo himself, he's an intriguing guy. His Ks are up through five starts in 2017 (7.94 K/9) and he's an extreme groundball pitcher. That drives up his BABIP (career .342), and with it the chances of death by a thousand cuts/singles. But it should prevent the long-ball damage and his HR:FB ratio is much closer to normal than it was last year when he surrendered a ridiculously high 21%. Of course, the Brewers remain one of the most dangerous offenses in baseball, with a league-leading .216 ISO vs. RHP, but Ryan Braun is out, and Travis Shaw left yesterday's game with a finger injury, so we could be looking at an impaired lineup. Either way, we're fine with Perdomo tonight.
Opponent - NYM (Wheeler) Park - @ARI
FD - 27.41 DK - 18.09
We're a little less sure about Godley, but if you're buying what he's done in two starts this season, it looks like there's some upside here. The downside comes in the form of a pretty sketchy extended track record and a home park that drives up offense. Godley was bad last year, with a 6.94 ERA more or less supported by a 4.97 FIP. He's undoubtedly been better in 2017, but over a larger sample size, that 75% ground ball rate he's induced so far this year is probably going to regress to something closer to his 53% career rate. That would be fine if he could keep the homers under control, but that's something he had major issues with last season, giving up 1.57 per 9 IP. He'll be facing a Mets team tonight that doesn't strike out a ton, but has also been below average vs. RHP this season (97 wRC+), despite plenty of lefties in the lineup. Bottom line: Godley is far from a safe play in Chase Field, but if he can keep the ball on the ground and continue missing bats (14.3% swinging strike), he should be able to limit the damage and keep your lineups competitive. That sort of lukewarm projection is more enticing at his DK price and that's where we'd prefer him.
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View Comments
Godley? God, no. Running out a D-backs stack. HRs for 3-4-5 is my call of the day.