Here's where you can find some recommendations for GPP stacks to target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here.
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Ok. Let's try this again. Here's what we said prior to last night's PPD:
Hey guys, it's Coors Field, so do whatever you want. Stack the Rockies, stack the Cubs, do a double wraparound stack starting with the No. 7 hitters for both teams. Go crazy. Impossible is nothing. Dare to dream. ... So, we think the Cubs are probably the chalk play here, but since they were featured heavily with the cash game picks, we'll turn our attention to Colorado. There's a decent chance they'll go under-owned facing Jake Arrieta, but we think it'd be a mistake to bypass them based on the name value of the opposing pitcher. For one thing, the Rockies' numbers at home since last season are ridiculous (.373 wOBA, .217 ISO) and put them in play against virtually anybody. For another, Arrieta has scuffled a bit this season. The xFIP suggests his 4.63 ERA will be coming down a bit, but the fact that his groundball rate is down to 42% after sitting at 56% in 2015 and 53% last year is worrisome. And really, any bat is in play. Obviously the big-name bats that occupy the top and middle of the order are the most attractive as long as you've got the money to spend. Also, though the sample size is really small, Arrieta has struggled with lefties this season (.348 wOBA), so you might want to keep that in mind.
It'll actually be John Lackey going for the Cubs tonight against Kyle Freeland from the Rockies and we think you're definitely going to want exposure on either side of this one. Repeat: an endorsement for the Rockies does not mean fade the Cubs, and if you're in a one-lineup-for-your-life situation, just go with the Cubs. But winning GPPs almost always requires something beyond the chalk (especially in large fields), and while John Lackey won't scare off as many Arrieta likely would have, there's still a chance to get the a Rockies team lesser owned and with virtually the same upside.
Man, we've got a lot of stackable offenses tonight. We're opting for the Astros over the Yankees in our No. 2 spot, because you probably don't need us to extol the virtues of playing one of the top offenses in baseball against Tim Adleman in the Great American Ballpark. Go ahead and grab some exposure there, because if the weather holds off, home runs are gonna happen. But similar to the Rockies/Cubs situation, we think the Astros present an excellent pivot. They're second only to the Yanks in wRC+ vs. RHP this season, and third in wOBA, and while the park/pitcher combo may not be quite as nice as the one in Cincinnati, it's definitely comparable. Bartolo Colon has been on a slow decline for a while now, but at almost 44 years old, it looks like he's approaching a cliff. He's giving up loads of hard contact (+40%), getting fewer ground balls, and generally having trouble getting anybody out. Meanwhile, the Astros have six regulars with a wOBA over .340 and/or an ISO over .200 since the beginning of last year, and that doesn't include George Springer, who barely misses the mark, or Marwin Gonzalez who has been on an unholy tear. They're all in play tonight.
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This one won't have the name appeal or the attractive park compared to the other teams we've mentioned, but there's plenty working in their favor. 1) They're cheap and will fit well with Coors bats and/or expensive pitching. 2) They'll probably be less popular, which could shoot your lineups well into the money if they go off. 3) And this might be the most important, they get Chris Young tonight. The 37-year-old will be making his first start of the season, but we already know what to expect. Since 2014, he's got the second worst xFIP (5.19) and second highest HR/9 (1.65) among qualified pitchers. And it gets even worse when we dig into the splits (.465 wOBA allowed vs. lefties since last season). That can only mean good things for Corey Dickerson, Brad Miller, Logan Morrison, etc. Like we said, these aren't the sexiest names in DFS, but they're in a great GPP spot tonight.
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