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Let's just get the obvious out of the way. The Rockies host the Diamondbacks in Coors Field tonight and both teams are forecasted for the top two run totals on the night (Colorado at 6.1, Arizona at 5.5) and as is always the case with a Coors weekend both are in consideration for tournament stacking, either separately, or as a whole game stack. Both teams send southpaws to the hill tonight, Patrick Corbin for the DBacks, is 2-3 through 6 starts this season walking 2.8 batters per 9 and he's allowing a .326 wOBA against right handed hitters. This is good news for the righty heavy lineup the Rockies will sens to the plate, featuring the likes of DJ LeMahieu, Nolan Arenado, Mark Reynolds and Trevor Story. Charlie Blackmon hits from the other side of the plate, but lead off in Coors can't be ignored simply due to handedness. On the other side we have Tyler Anderson Colorado'l left handed arm and we know that means big things for the Diamondbacks and Paul Goldschmidt who crush left handed pitchers. Anderson's off to a tough start to his 2017 campaign with a 1-3 record through 6 starts this season allowing 2.67 HR/9 and a .411 wOBA against right handed bats. 6 of his 9 home runs allowed have come from the right side of the plate which is good news for not just GOldy, but A.J. Pollock, Chris Owings, and Yasmany Thomas. Jeremy Lamb is also in play in the cleanup spot. Vegas, is giving the edge to the Rockies here, but I'm liking Arizona more and more
If you read the picks article, you know the system loves the Orioles tonight, and I am equally enamored. The Orioles have the highest implied run total outside of Coors at 5.5 and have the pleasure of going up tonight against Dylan Covey. The rookie right hander is 0-2 through 4 starts and his nubers have been anything but impressive. he's only striking out 3.43 batters per nine, but is walking 4.29 per. He's sporting a 7.29 ERA with a 34.2 hard hit percentage and 2.14 home runs allowed per 9. Manny MAchado leads Baltimore with 7 of their 34 team home runs, with three of those coming in his last 5 games. in addition to him we have righty killers Jonathan Schoop with a .419 wOBA against right handed arms, and Seth Smith with a .403, in addition to Chris Davis, Adam Jones, and Mark Trumbo who all make excellent plays in a Baltimore stack
We close out in hitter friendly Great American Ballpark where the Reds are hosting the Giants. The Reds are among the top ten power hitting teams in baseball this season with 38 team home runs led by Joey Votto (9), followed by Adam Duvall (8) and Eugenio Suarez (6). Cincinnati's .335 team wOBA is the fourth best in the majors and they're slugging .452 with a .328 OBP. The wind will be blowing straight out to center at about 12 mph when they step into the box tonight against Ty Blach. We don't have a lot to go on with Blach who has moved into the rotation to fill in for Madison Bumgarner. Blach is 1-1 in four career starts, and through 2 starts this season he has only allowed 2 runs. His control seems suspect as he's sporting a 1.36 k/BB as well as a 1.36 WHIP. The Reds are one of the best offenses through the first month of the season so look for them to put the young left hander to the test today.
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