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Baseball Picks Daily Fantasy Expert Advice

05/03/2017
Brent Holloway

Daily Fantasy MLB Pitchers for FanDuel and DraftKings - 5/3/17

Here's where you can find some recommendations for tournament pitchers target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here.

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Pitchers

Carlos CarrascoCarlos Carrasco FD 10400 DK 10700
Opponent - DET (Boyd) Park - @DET
FD - 35.38 DK - 23.25

Gotta admit, we're not super stoked to pay these prices for just about anybody against the Tigers -- and outside of large-field GPPs, we wouldn't recommend heavy exposure here either, so tread carefully. Detroit ranks fourth in baseball in wRC+ vs. RHP this season, and third since the beginning of 2016, and we have to be aware of that risk. But with Jacob deGrom and Jake Arrieta likely to attract the most attention on an otherwise thin pitching slate, we think Carrasco and his noteworthy upside just might slide under the radar. Since the beginning of 2016, he's averaging 9.1 Ks/9 with a 3.29 xFIP, which is seventh best among current starting pitchers in that span. As mentioned, Detroit is dangerous, but Comerica Park is pretty neutral and with cool-ish temps and an inbound breeze expectted, we think the risk/reward balance is worth some exposure to Carrasco in tourneys.

Julio UriasJulio Urias FD 7400 DK 8500
Opponent - SF (Samardzija) Park - @LAD
FD - 32.28 DK - 21.14

We really like the 20-year-old lefty in this spot, but he comes with risks, too. His arrive primarily in the threat of abbreviated run, which can deeply undercut a pitcher's ceiling, snatching away point-producing innings and Ks, as well as lessening the likelihood of a quality start and/0r a win. Urias went just 90 pitches in his first start of the season last time out, and it wouldn't be surprising if the Dodgers keep the kid gloves on with their top pitching prospect. But if Urias is hitting his spots, keeping the pitch count manageable and the Dodgers decide to stretch him out a bit, then the upside is there for him against the Giants. San Francisco ranks 24th in baseball in wRC+ vs. LHP since the start of last year, and 26th in 2017. They don't strike out a ton, but Urias (84 Ks in 77 career IP) should have something to say about that.

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image sources

  • Cleveland Indians starting pitcher Carlos Carrasco (59): By Keith Allison on Flickr [CC BY-SA 2.0 (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0)], via Wikimedia Commons

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