Daily Fantasy MLB Hitter Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 5/2/17

Here's where you can find some recommendations for GPP stacks to target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here.

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NEW YORK YANKEES

I'd expect this one to be the chalk, so if you want to fade it, there's your justification. But on a slate that's pretty stacked with formidable pitching, we're gonna pick on the Matt Latos types any time we get the chance. About Latos: though he's just 29 years old, he appears long past his peak, the potential he flashed as recently 2013 long since gone. He's the worst pitcher on the slate in terms of xFIP (5.53) since the beginning of last season. His 5.22 Ks/9 in that span put him in the Mike Pelfrey-Jered Weaver category, but he walks way more than either of those guys (4.09 BBs/9). As for the Yankees, I think we're all pretty aware of what's going on in the Bronx, even if we can't fully explain it. They've been among the best offenses in baseball through the first month of the season, ranking fourth in wRC+ vs. RHP, sixth in wOBA and sixth in OPS. Including part-timer Aaron Hicks, they've got five guys with wOBAs over .375 in the split, and they're spread throughout the order (Chase Headley, Starlin Castro, Aaron Judge and Austin Romine). And the lefties are always in play at Yankee Stadium, so you've got plenty of options with this lineup tonight.

MIAMI MARLINS

And here's your non-chalk play, because the Marlins are almost always going to be low-owned in their spacious home park. But what Marlins Park takes away, we're hoping Alex Cobb can give back, because he's gotten hammered in his 10 starts since returning from Tommy John surgery last year. He's giving up more HRs/9 than anybody on the slate during that span (1.79) and while his HR:FB% (19.6) is ridiculously high, it's probably not going to come down while he's giving up a whopping 38% hard contact compared to just 12% soft -- those numbers are also the worst on the slate, by the way. Of course, the Marlins have been pretty bad on offense this year, ranking 22nd in wRC+ vs. RHP, so maybe they don't have what it takes to take full advantage of the matchup. But Christian Yelich owns a .375 wOBA in the split since last season, J.T. Realmuto's is .348, Marcel Ozuna has hit righties well this year, and Giancarlo Stanton is always a double-HR threat, so the potential is there.

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CHICAGO CUBS

I guess this one probably falls somewhere between the first two, because as a chalk play last night, the Cubs let a whole lot of people down. It wouldn't be surprising to see people jump off the bandwagon tonight against Jeremy Hellickson, which makes them all the more intriguing. As for Hellickson, like we talked about the in picks column, we're not buying the results he's gotten in his first five starts of 2017. Across the board, the underlying stats say he's due for major regression, which is why his xFIP is nearly four runs higher than his ERA (5.62 vs. 1.80). That's a massive disparity, and the truth is probably somewhere in the middle, but that's good enough for us against a potent Cubs lineup, especially if it's going to be under-owned.

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